Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index MoM

Latest Release

May 30, 2025

Actual

0.1%

Forecast

0.1%

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Unlike the fixed-weight CPI, PCE is chain-weighted and thus adjusts to changing consumer behaviour. Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure and thus receives greater attention.

A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30			0.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	0.0%	0.1%	0.5%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	15:30	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

News

Dollar bounces ahead of PCE data; euro slips on weak German retail sales By Investing.com - May 30, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged higher Friday, enduring a choppy week as traders digested more uncertainty around trade policy ahead of a key inflation reading later in the session. At 03:00 ET...

New trade ruling, China talks, PCE data - what's moving markets By Investing.com - May 30, 2025

Investing.com - U.S. stock futures slipped slightly Friday as the rump administration's trade tariffs were reinstated, but trade talks with China appear to have hit an impasse. Investors await the...

Dollar edges higher, but on course for hefty monthly loss By Investing.com - Apr 30, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar inched higher Wednesday, but was still set to register its weakest month in over two years, weighed by the uncertainty generated by the Trump administration’s volatile...

Analysis

The Bond Market ‘Paradigm Shift’: Why Yield Control Is Far From Over By Michael Lebowitz - Jun 02, 2025

Some bearish bond investors in Japan and the US appear to believe that a paradigm shift is underway in the sovereign bond markets. To wit, consider the following statement from Jim Bianco on...

USD/JPY Hovers at Make-or-Break Demand Zone With BoJ Hike Odds on the Rise By Damian Nowiszewski - May 27, 2025

Japan’s inflation and global trade tensions heavily influence the Bank of Japan’s policy decisions. US-Japan trade talks stall over automotive sector; Japan sets aside $6.3 billion for...

US Dollar: Downside Risks Rise Amid Downbeat Economic Data Ahead of PCE This Week By Günay Caymaz - May 26, 2025

US Dollar’s drop below 99 reflects broken yield correlation and deepening concerns about fiscal stability. Delayed EU tariff decision boosts euro as Trump’s erratic trade stance keeps markets...

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