Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index MoM

Latest Release

Aug 29, 2025

Actual

0.3%

Forecast

0.3%

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Unlike the fixed-weight CPI, PCE is chain-weighted and thus adjusts to changing consumer behaviour. Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure and thus receives greater attention.

A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)	14:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	0.0%	0.1%	0.5%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%

News

Wall St futures rise after Aug gains as Fed rate cut hopes build By Investing.com - 44 minutes ago

Investing.com-- U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Sunday evening after Wall Street saw another monthly rise in August, buoyed by growing bets of a Federal Reserve rate cut later this month. S&P...

Dollar edges higher ahead of PCE; monthly fall likely By Investing.com - Aug 29, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged higher Friday ahead of the release of key inflation data, but the currency was still on track for a monthly drop on growing U.S. rate cut wagers. At 05:20 ET...

European stocks fall; key inflation data in spotlight By Investing.com - Aug 29, 2025

Investing.com - European stocks fell Friday, as investors digested consumer price increases from some of the region’s biggest economies ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve’s preferred...

Analysis

Gold: Resistance at $3534 Looms Ahead of PCE Data Release By Satendra Singh - Aug 29, 2025

After reviewing the movements of the gold futures this week, I anticipate that a tug of war between the gold bulls and bears seems to be finally approaching toward a series of crucial economic data...

FX Daily: Turning a Blind Eye to Fed Independence Risk By Francesco Pesole - Aug 29, 2025

Lisa Cook is challenging her dismissal in court, and markets are seemingly staying away from pricing in any substantial dovish shifts at the FOMC beyond what can be derived from data and...

Rates Spark: No Brain Steepeners Exposed to Reversals By Padhraic Garvey, CFA - Aug 29, 2025

In the US, the steepener has become the consensus trade, as has setting long end shorts. Price action through Thursday went against that grain; lower yields and a flatter curve; with month-end...

Core PCE Price Index (MoM) Discussion

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