Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index MoM

Latest Release

Jun 27, 2025

Actual

0.2%

Forecast

0.1%

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Unlike the fixed-weight CPI, PCE is chain-weighted and thus adjusts to changing consumer behaviour. Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure and thus receives greater attention.

A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	0.0%	0.1%	0.5%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	15:30	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

News

U.S. inflation pressures muted in May despite tariff worries, PCE data shows By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Dollar on track for hefty monthly decline; euro in demand By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged marginally higher Friday ahead of the release of key inflation data, but remained close to multi-year lows, on course for hefty weekly losses on expectations of...

European stocks rise on boosted global sentiment; key inflation data due By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - European stocks rose Friday, ending the week on an optimistic note after weathering a few weeks of heightened Middle East tensions and uncertainties over tariffs. At 04:10 ET (07:10...

Analysis

Is a 'Shadow' Fed Chair a Good Idea? By Michael Lebowitz - Jun 30, 2025

Donald Trump’s frustration with Chairman Powell increases by the day. Consequently, per The Wall Street Journal, expectations are that Trump will announce Powell’s successor sooner than typical....

US Dollar: Will Trump’s Budget Deficit Plan Accelerate Greenback's Downtrend? By Günay Caymaz - Jun 30, 2025

The dollar is under siege—from Trump’s Fed pressure to trillion-dollar deficits. With DXY testing key support, all eyes now turn to jobs data and Powell’s next move. Until then, markets remain stuck...

US Dollar Setup Turns Bearish With Core PCE, Spending Data on Deck By Francesco Pesole - Jun 27, 2025

Yesterday’s US data was a mixed bag, failing to unequivocally endorse the recent speculation on Fed rate cuts. Today, focus will be on the PCE, personal spending and more Fedspeak. EUR/USD has its...

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