Breaking News

U.S. Core PCE Price Index MoM

Latest Release

Jun 27, 2025

Actual

0.2%

Forecast

0.1%

The Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index measures the changes in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers for the purpose of consumption, excluding food and energy. Unlike the fixed-weight CPI, PCE is chain-weighted and thus adjusts to changing consumer behaviour. Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation measure and thus receives greater attention.

A reading that is stronger than forecast is generally supportive (bullish) for the USD, while a weaker than forecast reading is generally negative (bearish) for the USD.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30			0.2%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	0.0%	0.1%	0.5%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	0.4%	0.3%	0.3%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%

News

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Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Dollar on track for hefty monthly decline; euro in demand By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar edged marginally higher Friday ahead of the release of key inflation data, but remained close to multi-year lows, on course for hefty weekly losses on expectations of...

Analysis

It’s Confirmed, Long-End Yields Rise if Powell Were to Go By Padhraic Garvey, CFA - Jul 17, 2025

We saw an interesting experiment played out on Wednesday as the market seemed to genuinely believe that Fed Chair Powell was about to be removed. We continue to identify this as a low probability...

A 'Stagnation Summer' Could Deepen the Fed’s Policy Dilemma By Claudia Sahm - Jul 03, 2025

The summer months should bring more clarity on how President Donald Trump’s economic policies are affecting the economy. More clarity is what the Fed wants before making further changes to interest...

Is a 'Shadow' Fed Chair a Good Idea? By Michael Lebowitz - Jun 30, 2025

Donald Trump’s frustration with Chairman Powell increases by the day. Consequently, per The Wall Street Journal, expectations are that Trump will announce Powell’s successor sooner than typical....

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