Breaking News

U.S. PCE price index

Latest Release

Aug 29, 2025

Actual

0.2%

Forecast

0.2%

0.3%

The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways, a rise in inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency, on the other hand, during recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: US Department of Commerce

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Sep 26, 2025 (Aug)	14:30			0.2%
Aug 29, 2025 (Jul)	14:30	0.2%	0.2%	0.3%
Jul 31, 2025 (Jun)	14:30	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%

News

Asia FX subdued amid Fed rate cut bets; US PCE inflation awaited By Investing.com - Aug 29, 2025

Investing.com-- Asian currencies edged lower on Friday as traders awaited the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation to assess U.S. rate cut bets for September, while the Indian rupee neared...

U.S. economic growth surged in Q2; GDP rose 3.3% By Investing.com - Aug 28, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. economy expanded by more than initially reported in the second quarter, adding to the uncertainty ahead of the Federal Reserve's policy-meeting next month. U.S. gross domestic...

Dollar under pressure; September rate cut expectations grow By Investing.com - Aug 28, 2025

Investing.com - The U.S. dollar slipped marginally lower Thursday, on the defensive as expectations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month grew. At 05:20 ET (09:20 GMT), the Dollar...

Analysis

Markets Brace for Weak NFPs This Week as Payroll Revisions Hit By Michael Lebowitz - Sep 02, 2025

Once again, we find ourselves waiting on the all-important BLS labor report. The markets and the Fed are heavily dependent on the monthly BLS employment data; however, there are other labor market...

S&P 500: All Eyes on Inflation Swaps, Yield Curve Ahead of Friday's Jackson Hole By Michael Kramer - Aug 19, 2025

Stocks finished flat, in a fairly uneventful Monday. It was the lightest volume day on the S&P 500 futures since July 3, a half-day. Just 821,000 contracts traded on Monday. There isn’t much...

Are Tariffs Distorting Economic Growth Trends? By Michael Lebowitz - Aug 01, 2025

The BEA reported that real GDP grew by 3.0% in the second quarter. Such is almost a percent better than the longer-run trend growth rate, and is a cause for optimism for some. However, first quarter...

PCE price index (MoM) Discussion

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