Breaking News

U.S. PCE Price index YoY

Latest Release

Jun 27, 2025

Actual

2.3%

Forecast

2.3%

2.2%

The PCE price index, also referred to as the PCE deflator, is a United States-wide indicator of the average increase in prices for all domestic personal consumption. The impact on the currency may go both ways: a rise in CPI may lead to a rise in interest rates and a rise in local currency; on the other hand, during recession, a rise in CPI may lead to a deepened recession and therefore a fall in local currency.

Importance:

Country:

Currency: USD

Source: US Department of Commerce

Release Date	Time	Actual	Forecast	Previous
Jun 27, 2025 (May)	14:30	2.3%	2.3%	2.2%
May 30, 2025 (Apr)	14:30	2.1%	2.2%	2.3%
Apr 30, 2025 (Mar)	16:00	2.3%	2.2%	2.7%
Mar 28, 2025 (Feb)	14:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.5%
Feb 28, 2025 (Jan)	15:30	2.5%	2.5%	2.6%
Jan 31, 2025 (Dec)	15:30	2.6%	2.6%	2.4%

News

U.S. inflation pressures muted in May despite tariff worries, PCE data shows By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com - The Federal Reserve's preferred gauge of inflation edged up by 0.1% on a month-on-month basis in May, in line with expectations and matching the prior month's rate, in the latest sign...

Bitcoin price today: hovering near $107k amid Fed, inflation caution By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Bitcoin fell marginally on Friday, giving up some recent gains as risk appetite cooled in the face of uncertainty over the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates and a key upcoming...

Asia FX muted, dollar struggles at 3-yr low with PCE data on tap By Investing.com - Jun 27, 2025

Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies kept to a tight range on Friday after cooling Middle East tensions helped spur strong gains earlier this week, while the dollar meandered at more-than three-year...

Analysis

A 'Stagnation Summer' Could Deepen the Fed’s Policy Dilemma By Claudia Sahm - Jul 03, 2025

The summer months should bring more clarity on how President Donald Trump’s economic policies are affecting the economy. More clarity is what the Fed wants before making further changes to interest...

How A Methodology Tweak May Be Skewing America’s Top Consumer Sentiment Index By Lance Roberts - Jul 01, 2025

Recently, the media have highlighted anomalies in the University of Michigan (UM) consumer sentiment survey compared to other financial/economic sentiment surveys. It turns out UM changed their data...

USD/JPY H2 2025 Forecast: Correlation Breakdown, Political Risks and Central Bank Wildcards By David Scutt - Jun 30, 2025

Tariffs bite, budget cracks widen, Fed cut bets surge—pressure’s building and the technicals aren't offering much relief. USD/JPY correlations with key macro drivers remain weak entering...

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