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Investing.com - UBS downgraded Air New Zealand Limited (NZX:AIR) (OTC:ANZFF) from Neutral to Sell on Thursday, while lowering its price target to NZD0.55 from NZD0.63.
The downgrade comes as UBS analyst Marcus Curley expects Air New Zealand’s earnings to decline further in fiscal year 2026, citing ongoing operating cost pressure, constrained capacity, and lower engine compensation.
UBS noted that while Air New Zealand’s strong balance sheet and underlying asset backing (with book value of $0.58 in FY25) should limit share price downside, the airline faces significant challenges ahead.
The firm highlighted that Air New Zealand’s return to mid-cycle net profit after tax of approximately $300 million and return on invested capital exceeding weighted average cost of capital is unlikely in the next few years.
These challenges stem from engine maintenance and aircraft delivery delays pushing back a return to pre-COVID capacity to FY28, along with expected increases in airport charges, particularly from FY28 to FY30, according to UBS.
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