Aletheia Capital downgrades Jumia stock to Sell on unsustainable working capital improvements

Published 17/10/2025, 10:34
Aletheia Capital downgrades Jumia stock to Sell on unsustainable working capital improvements

Investing.com - Aletheia Capital downgraded Jumia Technologies (NYSE:JMIA) from Buy to Sell while maintaining its price target of $7.50. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, with analyst targets ranging from $7.54 to $14.83.

The African e-commerce company’s stock has risen 153% since August 1, driven by improvements in net working capital position over the past two quarters and management’s guidance for profitability by fiscal year 2027. InvestingPro data shows an impressive 466% return over the past six months, though the company maintains a concerning -45% return on assets.

Aletheia Capital expressed concerns that the working capital improvements appear to be "seasonal and unsustainable" rather than indicative of a fundamental business transformation.

The research firm noted that Jumia is currently trading at a premium to e-commerce comparable companies in terms of enterprise value to sales ratio.

Despite the rating downgrade from Buy to Sell, Aletheia Capital maintained its $7.50 price target for the stock.

In other recent news, Jumia Technologies AG reported its Q2 2025 earnings, revealing a revenue of $45.6 million, which exceeded expectations and marked a 25% increase year-over-year. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.12, slightly missing the forecast of -$0.11. Despite the EPS miss, the revenue beat led to a positive market reaction. Additionally, RBC Capital upgraded Jumia Technologies from Sector Perform to Outperform, raising its price target to $15.00 from $6.50. This upgrade followed virtual investor meetings with Jumia’s CEO and CFO, which left RBC Capital incrementally positive about the company’s outlook. In other developments, S&P Global Ratings upgraded Egypt’s long-term sovereign credit rating, potentially benefiting Jumia’s operations in one of its key markets. Furthermore, Google’s announcement of significant investments in Africa’s digital infrastructure, a region where Jumia operates, could bolster the company’s prospects. These recent developments highlight a period of notable activity for Jumia Technologies.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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