Barclays cuts TD Synnex price target to $125 from $148

Published 27/03/2025, 18:54
Barclays cuts TD Synnex price target to $125 from $148

On Thursday, Barclays (LON:BARC) analyst Tim Long adjusted the price target for TD Synnex (NYSE:SNX), an $8.99 billion market cap company, to $125 from the previous $148, while maintaining an Equalweight rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears to be trading below its Fair Value, suggesting potential upside opportunity. Long noted that Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:META) is experiencing component shipment delays into the second fiscal quarter, which may include hard disk drive (HDD) shipment delays, paralleling remarks from Seagate Technology (STX) and Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:WDC). The lower demand is possibly connected to Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), potentially due to a realignment of ORCL’s demand forecast or decreased non-AI demand for ORCL products.

TD Synnex is seen as well-positioned for recovery in IT spending, with its Hyve asset, which is tied to AI infrastructure development and has a broader geographic reach compared to smaller distributors and value-added resellers (VARs). With a "GOOD" Financial Health Score from InvestingPro, the company demonstrates solid fundamentals. However, Long anticipates that the near-term potential for significant stock appreciation is limited due to uncertainties in IT spending recovery, trade policy, Hyve demand in the short term, and potential government spending reductions.

The analyst pointed out that TD Synnex is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8 times based on the forecasted earnings per share (EPS) for fiscal year 2025, compared to its recent historical average of 9 times and Ingram Micro, which is trading at 7 times P/E but is not covered by Barclays. Long suggests that a clearer picture of enterprise spending improvements would provide a more supportive environment for the stock.

More detailed insights into the company’s fiscal year 2025 guidance are anticipated at the upcoming analyst day in April, as stakeholders seek greater transparency into the factors influencing TD Synnex’s performance.

In other recent news, TD Synnex reported its Q2 2025 earnings, revealing a slight miss in both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue expectations. The company posted an EPS of $2.80, falling short of the forecasted $2.91, and revenue came in at $14.53 billion, below the anticipated $14.79 billion. Despite these shortfalls, gross billings increased by 7.5% year-over-year, reaching $20.7 billion, and net revenue rose by 4% compared to the previous year. The company faced challenges in its Hyve segment, contrasting with strong performance in the distribution segment. Analyst Adam Tindle from Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James responded by adjusting the price target for TD Synnex’s stock to $125 from $150 while maintaining a Strong Buy rating. Tindle noted robust gross billings growth and expressed confidence in the company’s cash flow improvements. Looking forward, TD Synnex projects EPS growth for Q3 2025 to be $3.00 and $3.19 for Q4 2025, with revenue forecasts suggesting an upward trend. The company also plans to discuss its long-term profitable growth strategy at its upcoming analyst day.

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