Benchmark reiterates Buy rating on Cinemark stock, raises Q2 estimates

Published 02/07/2025, 15:22
Benchmark reiterates Buy rating on Cinemark stock, raises Q2 estimates

Investing.com - Benchmark has reiterated its Buy rating and $35.00 price target on Cinemark Holdings (NYSE:CNK) ahead of the theater chain’s expected early August earnings report. The stock, currently trading at $30.28, shows potential upside according to InvestingPro Fair Value metrics, with analyst targets ranging from $22 to $36.

The research firm has significantly raised its quarterly forecast for Cinemark based on industry data showing an estimated 36.5% year-over-year domestic admission growth per screen in Q2, substantially higher than its previous 12.5% estimate.

Benchmark now expects Cinemark to report total company revenue of $948 million (up from $805 million) and adjusted EBITDA of $228 million (up from $174 million), with the AEBITDA margin estimate increasing to 24% from 21.6%.

The firm believes Cinemark’s average ticket price likely benefited from a favorable premium mix, a more adult-skewing slate, and ongoing strategic pricing initiatives, which also supported strong concession per patron figures.

Benchmark maintained its $9.4 billion full-year domestic box office forecast while taking a more cautious view on Q3 given tough comparisons and ongoing volatility in film performance, continuing to highlight Cinemark as a "top idea" with its Buy rating.

In other recent news, Cinemark Holdings Inc. reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, revealing a mixed financial performance. The company exceeded revenue forecasts with $540.7 million, surpassing the anticipated $524.2 million. However, Cinemark reported a loss of $0.32 per share, missing the expected loss of $0.27 per share. B.Riley initiated coverage on Cinemark, assigning a Neutral rating and a price target of $35.00, acknowledging the company’s strong market position and financial structure. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs maintained a Sell rating with a $22.00 price target, noting that while revenue exceeded expectations, Adjusted EBITDA fell short. Additionally, Cinemark announced the election of board members and approval of executive compensation at its Annual Meeting of Stockholders. The company also ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as its independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These developments reflect a dynamic period for Cinemark, with both challenges and opportunities highlighted by recent analyst and company reports.

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