Bernstein maintains Microsoft stock outperform rating and $516 target

Published 27/01/2025, 13:06
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On Monday, Bernstein analysts maintained their positive outlook on Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ:MSFT), reiterating an Outperform rating with a stable price target of $516.00. This aligns with the broader Wall Street sentiment, as InvestingPro data shows a strongly bullish analyst consensus. Currently trading near its 52-week high of $468.35, Microsoft maintains its position as a $3.3 trillion market cap giant with impressive revenue growth of 16.44% over the last twelve months. The firm's analysts addressed concerns regarding Microsoft's performance in the calendar year 2024, particularly in light of the growing investor interest in Generative AI, where Microsoft is seen as a potential leader. Despite the heightened attention on AI, questions have arisen about why Microsoft's Azure cloud service has not accelerated at the same pace as its competitors, the destinations of the company's capital expenditures, and whether AI is a less profitable segment for Microsoft. According to InvestingPro's comprehensive analysis, Microsoft maintains excellent financial health with an overall score of "GREAT," suggesting strong fundamentals to support its AI initiatives. For deeper insights into Microsoft's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro.

To clarify these issues, Bernstein analysts provided a detailed note analyzing the investment cycle for Azure and AI, aiming to shed light on future growth prospects for Azure and capital expenditure trends. The note also gathered key data points to assist investors in understanding the current state and potential trajectory of Microsoft's AI revenue run rate, which began in the second quarter of the fiscal year 2025, and additional insights into the company's partnership with OpenAI.

The analysts highlighted that Microsoft's underperformance in the calendar year 2024 has now been met with significant investor interest, particularly in Microsoft's AI initiatives. The upcoming Q2FY25 earnings report, scheduled in just 2 days, is anticipated to be crucial, as it will not only reflect past performance but also set expectations for future growth. Trading at a P/E ratio of 36.34, investors will be watching closely to see if Microsoft can justify its premium valuation. The guidance for Q3 and the second half of the fiscal year 2025 will be especially important, according to Bernstein, as current expectations for Azure are relatively low, potentially positioning the stock favorably for future developments.

In other recent news, Microsoft Corporation has seen a flurry of activity. TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating on the tech giant's stock, with a $475 target, despite potential challenges such as shifts in workloads and foreign exchange impacts. KeyBanc Capital Markets also maintained a positive outlook, with a $575 price target, highlighting an increase in Azure instances and overall revenue growth. However, UBS analysts see limited immediate upside for Azure, despite a generally positive outlook for cloud infrastructure spending.

Microsoft's executive Vice President, Christopher D. Young, has resigned effective immediately, with no immediate changes announced to the executive team or business strategy. Furthermore, the company is set to benefit from the Stargate Project, an investment initiative aimed at expanding AI infrastructure in the U.S., with a proposed investment of up to $500 billion over the next four years.

In addition, Microsoft, alongside Nvidia Corp . (NASDAQ:NVDA), will provide technology support for a $100 billion joint venture in the AI sector involving SoftBank (TYO:9984) Group Corp., OpenAI, and Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL). This venture aims to fund AI infrastructure, with a goal to raise funding to at least $500 billion. Lastly, Kopin Corp has expressed interest in the U.S. Army's recompetition process for Microsoft's Integrated Visual Augmentation System (IVAS) production contract, leading to a Buy rating from a Lake Street Capital Markets analyst. These are the recent developments in the tech industry.

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