BMO Capital lifts Primo Brands stock target to $45, maintains Outperform

Published 24/02/2025, 15:24

On Monday, BMO Capital Markets updated their financial outlook on Primo Brands Corp. (NYSE:PRMB), raising the price target to $45.00 from the previous $40.00 while reaffirming an Outperform rating for the company’s shares. The stock has shown remarkable momentum, delivering a 127% return over the past year and currently trading near its 52-week high of $34.53. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a bullish consensus with price targets ranging from $38 to $48. The adjustment follows Primo Brands’ latest earnings report which revealed a combined company EBITDA of $301 million, slightly surpassing BMO Capital’s projection of $296 million, but falling short of the consensus by $4 million. Primo Brands’ revenue was reported to modestly exceed both BMO Capital and consensus estimates. InvestingPro analysis shows the company achieved strong revenue growth of 9.66% in the last twelve months, with total revenue reaching $5.15 billion. Get access to 12+ exclusive InvestingPro Tips about Primo Brands’ growth prospects and financial health.

Analysts at BMO Capital expressed confidence in Primo Brands’ guidance, describing it as a realistic baseline with room for growth. They highlighted the company’s potential for growth and opportunities for multiple expansion as reasons for the positive outlook. Primo Brands has provided guidance for 2025, which includes sales growth of 3-5%, aligning with expectations, and projected EBITDA ranging from $1.6 billion to $1.628 billion, which stands above the consensus estimate of $1.43 billion.

Primo Brands has also revised its synergy target upwards, now anticipating $200 million in synergies by 2025. BMO Capital’s analysts maintain a constructive view on the company’s multi-year prospects, driven by anticipated above-average sales growth and solid margin expansion. Primo Brands is expected to achieve durable top-line growth through leveraging its national platform of leading water brands, capitalizing on category tailwinds, capturing market share, and exploring new opportunities within its portfolio. While currently unprofitable, InvestingPro data indicates analysts expect the company to turn profitable in 2025, with projected earnings per share of $1.48. Discover detailed growth projections and 1,400+ comprehensive Pro Research Reports available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Primo Water Corp has reported significant financial achievements for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024. The company experienced a 5.4% increase in full-year net sales, reaching $6.81 billion, with a notable 19.5% rise in adjusted EBITDA to $1.353 billion. A key development for Primo Water was the completion of a merger with Blue Triton, which has been a strategic move to enhance its market position. The premium water segment showed remarkable growth of 47%, highlighting a shift in consumer preferences toward health-conscious products.

Additionally, analysts have been closely observing Primo Water’s strategic plans and have noted the company’s focus on expanding its premium water segment and optimizing operations. The merger with Blue Triton is expected to generate significant cost synergies, projected to reach $300 million. Primo Water has set ambitious goals for 2025, with organic net sales growth anticipated to be between 3-5% and adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $1.6 billion to $1.628 billion. The company is also concentrating on improving its operational efficiencies and expanding its distribution network to support future growth.

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