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Investing.com - BMO Capital has reiterated its Market Perform rating and $115.00 price target on Dollar General (NYSE:DG), citing the retailer’s execution and back-to-basics strategy. The target aligns with InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, with analyst targets ranging from $80 to $138.
The firm noted that Dollar General’s approach is supporting a recovery in margins, with shrink notably ahead of plan in the second quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 30.2% and has demonstrated strong momentum with a 52% price return over the past six months.
BMO Capital has shifted its fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings per share estimates higher, primarily due to swifter gross margin recovery and favorable shrink trends, which it now forecasts at approximately 100 basis points of recovery.
The firm expressed more caution regarding Dollar General’s retail media-related margin goals over the longer term, noting a lack of meaningful disclosures on this early-stage initiative.
BMO Capital’s price target of $115 is based on its higher fiscal 2027 earnings per share estimate of $6.72.
In other recent news, Dollar General has reported second-quarter results that exceeded expectations, with a 2.8% increase in comparable store sales. This performance is at the higher end of the company’s target range and has been positively received by analysts. Piper Sandler responded by raising its price target from $115 to $117, maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. Similarly, CFRA increased its price target from $118 to $126, highlighting the success of Dollar General’s "Back to Basics" strategy. Telsey Advisory Group also raised its price target to $123, noting the company’s shift from growth to a more mature retail model. Despite these positive developments, Guggenheim maintained a Buy rating with a $125 price target, citing concerns about future growth prospects due to early shrink expense improvements. KeyBanc reiterated its Sector Weight rating, acknowledging the strong quarterly results. These updates reflect the company’s solid performance and strategic adjustments amid market dynamics.
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