BMO raises Instacart stock target to $49 from $48

Published 26/02/2025, 16:14
BMO raises Instacart stock target to $49 from $48

On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets slightly increased its price target for Instacart shares (NASDAQ:CART) to $49.00, up from the previous $48.00. The adjustment follows Instacart’s reported acceleration in order velocity during the fourth quarter of 2024, marking the fastest pace since the first quarter of 2022. Despite a recent 8.2% decline over the past week, InvestingPro data shows the stock has gained an impressive 34.2% over the past six months. According to BMO Capital’s analyst, this uptick is attributed to Instacart’s strategic move to lower the no delivery fee threshold from $35 to $10 and the growing adoption of the service by restaurants.

The analyst also addressed concerns about Instacart’s take-rate initiatives in the fourth quarter of 2024, expressing a positive outlook. The initiatives are seen as beneficial due to the improvement in supply optionality and the frequency of orders placed through the platform. Supporting this positive outlook, InvestingPro data reveals strong fundamentals with a 75.4% gross profit margin and healthy liquidity, maintaining a current ratio of 3.06. Furthermore, the analyst anticipates that Retail Media will provide tailwinds, potentially increasing advertising revenue to account for 4-5% of Instacart’s Gross Transaction (JO:TCPJ) Value (GTV) over time.

Despite the modest increase in the price target, BMO Capital has decided to maintain its Market Perform rating on Instacart stock. The firm cited relatively slower growth when compared to Instacart’s peers as the reason for not adjusting the rating upward. According to InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock is currently fairly valued, with 12 additional ProTips available for subscribers. The analyst’s remarks suggest a cautious yet optimistic view of Instacart’s business prospects and strategic decisions, as the company continues to navigate the competitive delivery service landscape.

In other recent news, Instacart’s financial performance and strategic moves have garnered attention from several analyst firms. The company reported a 10% increase in advertising revenues, aligning with its Gross Transaction Value (GTV) growth, and its fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA reached $252 million, a 29% margin, surpassing expectations. However, the company’s revenue of $883 million narrowly missed the forecast consensus of $889 million. Cantor Fitzgerald maintained its Overweight rating with a $55 price target, emphasizing the stock’s risk/reward profile. Meanwhile, Macquarie raised its target to $55, citing strong partnerships with grocers as a growth factor.

Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its price target to $52, noting a tempered EBITDA outlook due to ongoing investments. Goldman Sachs lowered its target to $56, highlighting Instacart’s strategic investments in online grocery shopping and advertising solutions. JPMorgan also revised its target to $50, acknowledging the company’s growth in Monthly Active Users and order frequency but expressing concerns over short-term incremental margins. These developments reflect varied perspectives on Instacart’s financial trajectory and market strategies.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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