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BMO sees ASGN stock undervalued after sell-off, cites stability in federal contracts

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 22/11/2024, 12:02
ASGN
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On Friday, BMO Capital Markets changed its rating on ASGN Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:ASGN), upgrading the stock from Market Perform to Outperform and setting a new price target of $100.00. The upgrade comes after the firm's recent non-deal roadshow (NDR), where they evaluated the company's performance and prospects.

ASGN, which has experienced downward pressure due to concerns that the proposed Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) might negatively impact its Federal Government business, was reassessed by BMO Capital. The firm's analyst noted that it is too early to predict the full impact of the DOGE, but highlighted ASGN's strategic focus on digital transformation and artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) as key factors that help clients improve their efficiencies.

The analyst pointed out that ASGN's primary Federal customers, which include the Department of Defense (DoD), Department of Homeland Security (DHS), and Intelligence agencies, are likely at a lower risk of experiencing closures or funding cuts. This assessment suggests a more stable outlook for the company's government-related business segments.

In light of these observations, BMO Capital raised their price target for ASGN. The firm believes that the recent sell-off in ASGN's stock has created a favorable buying opportunity for investors. The new price target represents a significant increase from the previous target, reflecting the firm's confidence in ASGN's future performance.

ASGN Inc. specializes in providing IT services and professional solutions, with a particular emphasis on sectors such as government services. The company's ability to navigate the challenges posed by potential policy changes and maintain its business with key government agencies was a critical factor in BMO Capital's upgraded rating and increased price target.

In other recent news, ASGN Incorporated reported stable third-quarter revenues of $1.031 billion for 2024, despite a year-over-year decrease, and exceeded Wall Street's earnings per share expectations. BMO Capital Markets raised the price target for ASGN shares to $96.00 while maintaining a Market Perform rating, following a healthy year-over-year growth of 4% in ASGN's consulting division. However, the company continues to face challenges in its Assignment segment and saw a slight decline in its Federal Government business.

Truist Securities maintained its Buy rating on ASGN shares, expecting robust growth in an improving macro-economic climate. Despite a potential decrease in the fourth quarter forecast, Truist Securities is optimistic about a more favorable demand landscape in 2025, linked to ongoing interest rate cuts and the upcoming election.

ASGN has increased its adjusted EBITDA margin to 11.3% and gross margin, reflecting growth in high-value IT consulting. The company projects fourth-quarter revenues between $990 million and $1.01 billion, with net income expected to be between $39.2 million and $42.1 million. These are among the recent developments for ASGN, which remains optimistic about future IT spending growth, particularly in the AI/ML sectors.

InvestingPro Insights

ASGN's recent upgrade by BMO Capital Markets aligns with several key financial metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $3.73 billion, with a P/E ratio of 20.4 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024. This valuation is particularly interesting given that ASGN is currently trading near its 52-week low, as highlighted by one of the InvestingPro Tips.

Despite the recent downward pressure on the stock, InvestingPro Tips indicate that ASGN's management has been aggressively buying back shares, suggesting confidence in the company's future prospects. This aligns with BMO Capital's view of a favorable buying opportunity. Additionally, ASGN boasts a high shareholder yield, which could be attractive to investors looking for value in the current market conditions.

It's worth noting that ASGN's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 was $4.19 billion, with a revenue growth of -7.47% over the same period. While this decline might raise concerns, the company remains profitable, with analysts predicting continued profitability this year. This profitability, combined with the fact that ASGN's liquid assets exceed short-term obligations, suggests a solid financial foundation despite current challenges.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide further insights into ASGN's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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