BofA cuts Restoration Hardware price target to $410, keeps buy rating

Published 26/03/2025, 15:26
BofA cuts Restoration Hardware price target to $410, keeps buy rating

On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on Restoration Hardware (NYSE:RH), reducing the home furnishings company’s price target from $510.00 to $410.00, while still recommending the stock as a ’Buy.’ The revision comes ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report, which is scheduled for April 2, 2025. According to InvestingPro data, RH currently trades at a P/E ratio of 65.08, suggesting a premium valuation, while the stock has experienced a significant -25.55% return over the past six months. Analysts at BofA anticipate a strong performance for the fourth quarter but project a softer commencement to the year.

Restoration Hardware is expected to announce its fourth-quarter results with sales, EBIT, and EPS figures of $832 million, $108 million, and $2.06 respectively. These projections are slightly higher than the consensus estimates, which forecast $830 million in sales, $107 million in EBIT, and $1.92 in EPS. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains a weak overall financial health score of 1.6, though its liquid assets exceed short-term obligations with a current ratio of 1.43. The anticipated year-over-year sales growth of 12.7% surpasses both the Street’s expectation of 12.4% and RH’s own guidance of 10-12%. This growth is attributed to factors such as new product launches, marketing efforts, and the opening of new galleries.

Despite the positive outlook for the fourth quarter, BofA cautions that the first quarter of the year may not follow the same trajectory. The macroeconomic environment has shown signs of softening, and there are increasing concerns about consumer discretionary spending. These factors could lead to a more cautious tone during the earnings call.

Restoration Hardware is deemed well-equipped to handle the challenges posed by tariffs, a sentiment echoed by its competitors Williams-Sonoma (NYSE:WSM) and Arhaus. However, BofA notes that near-term margins might be affected by higher rates. The company’s strategic positioning and its ability to navigate these economic pressures will be key topics of interest as investors and analysts alike await the upcoming earnings report. InvestingPro data indicates the company operates with a significant debt burden, with total debt of $3.86 billion. Analyst consensus remains cautiously optimistic, with targets ranging from $250 to $550 per share. For deeper insights into RH’s financial health and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, Restoration Hardware has been the subject of multiple analyst reviews and price target adjustments. Guggenheim maintained a Buy rating but lowered its price target for the company from $550 to $500, citing ambitious product innovation plans for 2025, including new furniture collections and the potential for positive cash flow. Telsey Advisory Group also reduced its price target from $500 to $420 while retaining an Outperform rating, noting the company’s strong demand growth and strategic plans for store openings and international expansion. Meanwhile, Citi adjusted its price target to $437, maintaining a Buy rating, and highlighted expectations for the company’s upcoming fourth-quarter earnings report, predicting potential sales outperformance despite a competitive pricing environment.

Stifel reiterated a Buy rating and a $500 price target, expressing optimism about Restoration Hardware’s growth potential, driven by demand trends and gallery expansions. TD Cowen identified Restoration Hardware as one of its top picks in the Hardlines retail sector, despite concerns about market volatility and high inventory levels. Analysts from various firms have expressed confidence in Restoration Hardware’s strategic initiatives, including its focus on margin improvement and potential corporate actions to manage debt. Investors are keenly anticipating the company’s fourth-quarter earnings release, which will provide further insights into its financial performance amidst current market conditions. Restoration Hardware’s ongoing product launches and strategic moves are closely watched as indicators of its future prospects.

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