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Investing.com - TD Cowen has reiterated its Hold rating and $30.00 price target on Brown Forman (NYSE:BF-B), citing continued weakness in U.S. spirits depletions and potential structural headwinds.
The company reported first-quarter earnings per share of $0.36 and organic sales growth of 1%, which aligned with consensus expectations after adjusting for a 4% benefit from higher distributor inventories.
U.S. depletions fell below expectations, and Brown Forman faces additional pressure from ongoing U.S. distributor transitions, which management indicated will create headwinds in the second quarter.
TD Cowen noted that Brown Forman management has increasingly acknowledged alcohol moderation trends as a structural demand challenge for the coming years.
The $30 price target implies a 17.5x forward 12-month P/E multiple, representing a significant discount to Brown Forman’s five-year average P/E of 31.2x, which TD Cowen considers appropriate given the weak organic sales growth profile and uncertain timeline for recovery.
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