Canaccord Genuity lowers Elastic stock price target to $110

Published 02/06/2025, 12:24
Canaccord Genuity lowers Elastic stock price target to $110

On Monday, Canaccord Genuity analysts revised their price target for Elastic NV stock (NYSE: NYSE:ESTC) to $110 from a previous target of $135. Despite the reduction, the analysts maintained a Buy rating for the company. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for ESTC range from $75 to $160, with the stock currently trading near $81 after falling over 12% in the past week.

Elastic NV shares were priced at approximately $81 in after-hours trading. The analysts noted that they see potential upside for the stock, citing what they consider a conservative guidance from the company, which could lead to significant performance improvements throughout the year. The company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 1.92 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet.

The revised price target reflects a valuation of approximately 6.5 times the company’s expected revenues for calendar year 2026 and 33 times its enterprise value to free cash flow. These metrics are deemed suitable for a company that has the potential to grow its free cash flow by over 20% in the coming years.

Elastic NV is noted for its exposure to generative artificial intelligence workloads, an area expected to contribute to its growth. The analysts expressed confidence in the company’s ability to exceed its guidance and achieve a beat-and-raise scenario.

The report from Canaccord Genuity highlights the firm’s continued positive outlook on Elastic NV, despite the adjusted price target.

In other recent news, Elastic NV reported total revenues of $388.4 million for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025, surpassing both Wall Street’s estimate and the company’s own guidance. Despite this revenue beat, Elastic’s cloud revenue slightly missed expectations, contributing to a cautious revenue forecast for fiscal year 2026. Analysts from Citi lowered their price target for Elastic to $125, maintaining a Buy rating, while RBC Capital adjusted its target to $115 but kept an Outperform rating. DA Davidson retained a Neutral stance with a $75 target, citing a less optimistic growth outlook. Meanwhile, TD Cowen reduced its price target to $90, maintaining a Hold rating due to a cloud revenue shortfall. Wedbush also revised its target to $110, maintaining an Outperform rating, noting strong overall performance but concerns over future revenue forecasts. Elastic’s management expressed optimism about the company’s pipeline and growth potential, particularly in leveraging Generative AI technology. However, they acknowledged macroeconomic pressures and longer sales cycles, especially in the US public sector.

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