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Citi sees long-term upside for Hormel stock despite modest 4Q expectations

Published 18/11/2024, 11:25
Citi sees long-term upside for Hormel stock despite modest 4Q expectations
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On Monday, Citi adjusted its price target for Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL) shares, lowering it to $35 from $36 while sustaining a Buy rating on the stock. The firm anticipates Hormel to release its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings for 2024 on December 4, and forecasts organic sales growth that falls below consensus estimates, alongside earnings per share (EPS) that align with expectations.

Citi suggests that while Hormel's initial outlook for fiscal year 2025 might not fully account for potential increases in turkey prices, there is still a possibility for EPS growth as the year unfolds. The firm's stance remains positive on the stock's prospects, despite not foreseeing the upcoming fourth-quarter earnings report to significantly propel the stock upward.

The price target revision comes ahead of Hormel's earnings announcement, where investors will be keen to assess the company's performance and future guidance. Hormel, known for its variety of meat and food products, including turkey, has its earnings watched closely by market participants for signs of company health and industry trends.

Citi's analysis indicates a cautious short-term view on Hormel's immediate earnings impact on its stock, while maintaining a longer-term optimism for the company's financial growth. The firm's current Buy rating suggests confidence in the stock's potential value despite the minor adjustment in the price target.

Investors and market watchers will be looking to Hormel's December 4 earnings report to gauge the accuracy of Citi's projections and the company's trajectory for the coming fiscal year. Hormel's stock performance following the earnings release will reflect the market's reaction to the company's financial results and outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

As Hormel Foods approaches its December 4 earnings report, InvestingPro data provides additional context to Citi's analysis. The company's current P/E ratio of 20.57 suggests a moderate valuation, while its market cap of $16.02 billion reflects its significant presence in the food industry.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Hormel's strong dividend history, having raised its dividend for 32 consecutive years and maintained payments for 54 years. This consistency aligns with Citi's long-term optimism for the company. However, the stock's recent performance has been challenging, with InvestingPro data showing a 9.26% price decline over the past month and an 18.07% drop over six months.

The company's financial health appears stable, with InvestingPro Tips noting that cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments and liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. This financial stability could support Hormel's ability to navigate potential challenges in the turkey market, as mentioned in Citi's report.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for Hormel Foods, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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