DA Davidson cuts Timken price target to $97, maintains Buy rating

Published 07/02/2025, 17:16
DA Davidson cuts Timken price target to $97, maintains Buy rating

On Friday, DA Davidson analyst Michael Shilsky revised the price target for Timken shares (NYSE: TKR), reducing it to $97.00 from the previous target of $99.00. Despite this adjustment, the firm maintained its Buy rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro analysis, Timken appears undervalued at its current price of $80.58. Shilsky’s commentary highlighted that while organic growth has faced challenges, particularly due to market conditions in Europe, there are indications that this trend may be reaching its nadir, especially with the positive momentum in renewable-energy trends.

Timken’s recently appointed CEO has announced a series of cost reduction measures aimed at providing an earnings boost. The company, known for its strong free cash flow (FCF) generation with a current FCF yield of 5%, is expected to continue this trend, with guidance suggesting growth in FCF for 2025. These developments come despite the near-term challenges that the company is currently navigating. For deeper insights into Timken’s financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides detailed analysis of key metrics and future outlook.

The analyst expressed a positive outlook for Timken’s future, suggesting that as the business cycle improves and the company refines its strategic and growth plans, there could be potential for an increase in its stock multiple in the upcoming months. With a P/E ratio of 16.1 and strong EBITDA of $835.6 million, this optimism is based on the company’s solid financial management and the expected recovery in organic growth.

Timken is recognized as a leading FCF generator within its industry, and its commitment to FCF growth is a significant aspect of its financial strategy. The company’s proactive measures in cost reduction and strategic adjustments are designed to strengthen its position and performance as market conditions evolve.

The revised price target by DA Davidson reflects a careful consideration of both the headwinds faced by Timken and the positive steps being taken by management to navigate these challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities. As the market anticipates a potential upturn in the cycle, Timken’s actions to enhance its growth outlook are noteworthy for investors following the company’s progress.

In other recent news, Timken Co (NYSE:TKR). has seen several changes in its stock ratings and price targets. DA Davidson has reduced its price target from $99 to $97, maintaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s challenges with organic growth, particularly in Europe. In contrast, Citi has increased its price target from $85 to $95, also maintaining a Buy rating, despite revising the anticipated adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 downwards due to conservative projections for organic growth and a slight decrease in margin expectations. BofA Securities has upgraded Timken’s stock rating from Underperform to Neutral and increased the price target to $78, reflecting a more optimistic outlook as industry conditions improve.

The company has also seen changes in its leadership structure, with the election of Kimberly K. Ryan to its board of directors, expanding the board from twelve to thirteen members. Ryan, currently serving as the President and Chief Executive Officer of Hillenbrand (NYSE:HI), Inc., is expected to contribute to the strategic guidance of Timken with her expertise in the industry. These developments follow the company’s fourth-quarter earnings for 2024, with Timken continuing to be recognized as a leading free cash flow generator within its industry, despite near-term headwinds.

These are just some of the recent developments at Timken Co., as the company navigates the current market landscape and continues its efforts to refine its strategy and growth expectations.

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