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Investing.com - Bernstein SocGen Group has reiterated an Outperform rating on Dollar General (NYSE:DG) with a price target of $126.00, according to a research note released Tuesday. The target represents potential upside from the current trading price of $116.30, with InvestingPro data indicating the stock is trading near its Fair Value.
The firm identified Dollar General as its "top pick" for the next six to nine months, noting that the company’s recent challenges have been "self-inflicted" rather than market-driven. This view is supported by the company’s solid fundamentals, including a healthy current ratio of 1.23 and an overall GOOD Financial Health Score according to InvestingPro analysis.
Bernstein SocGen believes Dollar General has significant gross margin recovery opportunities that are "still underappreciated by consensus," particularly in shrink and damages reduction and mix normalization.
The research firm sees potential for Dollar General to "continue to beat and raise" financial expectations, supported by these margin improvement opportunities and near-term consumer trade-down trends.
Despite Dollar General shares rising more than 50% year-to-date, Bernstein SocGen maintains that the stock remains below its historical levels and presents a favorable risk/reward profile.
In other recent news, Dollar General has experienced several notable developments. UBS reiterated its buy rating and increased the price target for Dollar General to $128, highlighting the company’s margin recovery and potential for earnings per share to more than double in the coming years. BMO Capital also raised its price target to $115, citing improved execution and strategic momentum, despite maintaining a Market Perform rating. Loop Capital adjusted its price target to $110, maintaining a Hold rating, and noted better-than-expected revenue and margin improvements in the first quarter of 2025.
Bernstein SocGen increased its price target to $126, maintaining an Outperform rating, due to Dollar General’s strong first-quarter performance and gross margin recovery. Analysts from UBS and Bernstein SocGen expressed optimism about Dollar General’s future growth potential, with UBS noting that the company might be under-earning its long-term potential. Dollar General’s management has guided towards an operating margin of 6-7% by 2028-2029, a target that analysts now find credible. The company has seen increased comparable sales, attributed to consumer trade-ins and store remodels. Despite these positive developments, some analysts remain cautious due to potential risks such as legislative changes impacting consumer benefits.
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