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Evercore sees upside in Oracle stock amid solid F2Q results and strong 2025 growth expectations

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/12/2024, 13:06
© Reuters.
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On Tuesday, Evercore ISI updated its outlook on Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), increasing the price target to $200 from $190, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The firm attributes the adjustment to Oracle's strong fiscal second-quarter performance, despite a slight pullback in share prices, which is seen more as a result of profit-taking rather than a shift in the company's prospects.

The stock has demonstrated remarkable momentum, with an impressive 82.85% year-to-date return and currently trades near its 52-week high of $198.31. According to InvestingPro analysis, Oracle appears to be trading above its Fair Value, though the platform offers 18 additional investment tips for deeper insight.

The analyst pointed out that the recent decline in Oracle's shares is likely linked to profit-taking following a substantial year-to-date increase, rather than any significant change in the company's long-term outlook. The forecast for Oracle's revenue was slightly affected by an approximately 2% headwind from foreign exchange challenges, which has been factored into the revised estimates.

Oracle's cloud pipeline and the acceleration in cloud revenue performance obligations (CRPO) growth, which increased from 18% to 21%, were highlighted as key indicators of the company's positive trajectory heading into the second half of the year. With a substantial market capitalization of $527.36 billion and revenue growth of 6.4%, Oracle maintains its position as a dominant player in the software industry.

Confidence remains high regarding the capacity expansion planned for calendar year 2025, with expectations for Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) growth to continue surpassing 50%. For comprehensive analysis of Oracle's growth metrics and industry position, InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed research reports covering 1,400+ top stocks.

In the recent earnings report, several financial highlights were noted, including a total remaining performance obligation (RPO) of $97 billion, a slight quarter-over-quarter decrease, but with an anticipated significant uptick in the second half as larger deals come to fruition. The company maintains strong profitability with a gross profit margin of 71.26%, though it trades at a relatively high P/E ratio of 49.08.

InvestingPro data reveals that Oracle has consistently maintained dividend payments for 16 consecutive years, demonstrating its financial stability.

OCI consumption surged by 58% year-over-year, driven by strong demand that continues to exceed supply. Strategic Software (ETR:SOWGn) as a Service (SaaS) grew by 18% in the quarter, signaling an improving demand environment that is expected to support growth into 2025.

Oracle also reported a non-GAAP tax rate of 20.1% for the quarter, which was higher than the forecasted 19%, and an investment loss that resulted in earnings per share being $0.05 lower than expected. Nonetheless, operating margins improved by 58 basis points year-over-year to 43.4%.

This margin growth demonstrates Oracle's ability to achieve operating leverage even as it makes significant investments in infrastructure capacity. Capital expenditures for the quarter were approximately $4 billion and are projected to double year-over-year due to robust demand.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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