Goldman Sachs upgrades Reece stock rating to Neutral on slowing growth

Published 24/07/2025, 11:24
Goldman Sachs upgrades Reece stock rating to Neutral on slowing growth

Investing.com - Goldman Sachs has upgraded Reece Ltd (ASX:REH) stock rating from Sell to Neutral while lowering its price target to AUD14.30 from AUD16.80.

The upgrade comes despite Goldman Sachs cutting its FY25 EBIT estimates by 6% and moderating FY26 growth expectations from 9% year-over-year to just 2% year-over-year for the plumbing and bathroom supplies company.

Goldman Sachs cited persistent macroeconomic demand headwinds, though noted "green shoots" in Australia, alongside increased competitive intensity in the U.S. market with potential for similar conditions to develop in Australia.

The investment bank highlighted a significant growth deceleration, with EBITDA expected to slow from a compound rate of 12% over the four years to FY24 to just 1% annually over the next three years through FY27.

Goldman Sachs explained that while these headwinds prevent a positive stance on Reece stock, the current share price sufficiently reflects these risks, supporting the upgrade to a Neutral rating with the new DCF and EV/EBIT-based 12-month target price.

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