Guggenheim maintains Neutral stance on CrowdStrike stock after Fal.Con event

Published 18/09/2025, 12:52
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Investing.com - Guggenheim has reiterated its Neutral rating on CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD), currently trading near $445, following the company’s Fal.Con Conference and Analyst Day held this week in Las Vegas. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears overvalued despite its impressive 67% return over the past year.

The cybersecurity firm hosted over 8,000 attendees at the event, where it showcased new product announcements and revealed the acquisition of Pangea, a company specializing in AI security.

CrowdStrike presented financial projections during the conference, forecasting Net New Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) growth of 20% in fiscal year 2027, which exceeds the Street’s expectation of 14%. The company also extended its long-term outlook, projecting ARR to reach $20 billion in FY36, building upon its previously announced target of $10 billion in FY31.

The event featured extensive discussion about artificial intelligence applications, which Guggenheim described as "more believable than much of what we hear with reasonable assumptions." Management also expressed enthusiasm about early traction with their Flex go-to-market strategy, which Guggenheim noted has been adopted across the industry.

Guggenheim acknowledged CrowdStrike as "a unique organization with a strong product platform and GTM motion," while maintaining that the current stock price already reflects these strengths, supporting the firm’s continued Neutral position.

In other recent news, CrowdStrike Holdings has seen multiple analysts raise their stock price targets following significant company events. Cantor Fitzgerald increased its target to $500, maintaining an Overweight rating, citing updates on CrowdStrike’s long-term financial targets shared at the Fal.Con 2025 event. Morgan Stanley also adjusted its target to $475, highlighting the benefits of platformization amid rising artificial intelligence risks. Jefferies went further, setting a new target of $515 after attending the Fal.Con conference, where CrowdStrike emphasized its growing product portfolio in AI and identity security. Mizuho raised its target to $475, noting significant insights from the investor meeting at the same conference. BMO Capital increased its target to $500, attributing the change to CrowdStrike’s platform expansion and growth opportunities in endpoint security and cross-selling of modules like Cloud and Identity. These developments reflect a strong outlook for CrowdStrike, with several firms maintaining positive ratings on the company’s stock.

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