Guggenheim reiterates Buy rating on Atlassian stock, citing strong Cloud growth

Published 31/10/2025, 09:16
Guggenheim reiterates Buy rating on Atlassian stock, citing strong Cloud growth

Investing.com - Guggenheim has reiterated its Buy rating and $225.00 price target on Atlassian Corporation (NASDAQ:TEAM) following the company’s fiscal first-quarter 2026 results. The target represents significant upside potential from the current price of $160.67, with InvestingPro data showing the stock has declined 29.63% over the past six months.

Atlassian reported Cloud growth of 26% in the quarter, exceeding investor expectations of over 24%, according to Guggenheim’s TMT survey. The growth was primarily driven by paid seat expansions, Data Center migrations, and cross-selling initiatives, with Cloud New ARR growth excluding migrations calculated at approximately 35% year-over-year. This performance aligns with the company’s overall revenue growth of 19.66% over the last twelve months, supported by impressive gross profit margins of 82.84% according to InvestingPro data.

The company has raised its fiscal year 2026 Cloud guidance by 150 basis points to 22.5%, reflecting increased Cloud migrations expected for the remainder of the year and the first-quarter organic performance. Atlassian also increased its total revenue guidance by 180 basis points to 20.8% and non-GAAP EBIT margin guidance by 150 basis points to 25.5%. InvestingPro analysis reveals that analysts expect the company to be profitable this year, with EPS forecasts for FY2026 at $4.31, despite not being profitable over the last twelve months.

Guggenheim noted that the quarter represented "another step in the right direction to disproving the AI risk bear case," highlighting management’s observation that Atlassian customers using AI code generation tools expand their paid Jira seats at approximately 5% higher rates than non-users. The firm also mentioned the Teamwork Collection bundle’s growing momentum and the potential for expansion from new Service and Software Collections.

Atlassian has maintained its long-term outlook of over 20% total revenue CAGR and more than 25% non-GAAP EBIT margin by fiscal year 2027, with free cash flow margin approximately 500 basis points higher. Guggenheim continues to model 26% Cloud growth for fiscal year 2026 with total revenue growth of 23% and nearly 30% free cash flow margin. With a market capitalization of $42.29 billion and analyst consensus recommendation of 1.59 (where 1 is Strong Buy), Atlassian remains a closely watched stock. For deeper insights into TEAM’s valuation and 10+ additional ProTips, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Atlassian Corp Plc reported its first-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2026, surpassing analysts’ expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04, outperforming the forecasted $0.84. Atlassian’s revenue also exceeded predictions, reaching $1.43 billion against the anticipated $1.4 billion. These results highlight the company’s strong financial performance in the recent quarter. Despite these positive earnings and revenue figures, the stock saw a decline in after-hours trading. The company’s financial results are closely watched by investors, as they provide insights into its operational efficiency and market position. Analyst firms often use such earnings reports to adjust their ratings or projections for the company.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.