HSBC cuts Marex stock rating, raises price target to $36

Published 10/03/2025, 08:46
HSBC cuts Marex stock rating, raises price target to $36

On Monday, HSBC analysts have revised their stance on Marex Group PLC (NASDAQ: MRX), downgrading the stock’s rating from Buy to Hold, despite increasing the price target to $36 from a previous $33. The revision reflects an adjustment of estimates and a forward roll of their valuation base. Currently trading at $36.38, the stock has received a "Strong Buy" consensus from analysts, with price targets ranging from $33 to $45. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score of 3.15 out of 5, suggesting solid fundamentals.

Marex Group has seen a significant increase in its stock value since its initial public offering in April 2024, delivering an impressive 93.59% return over the past year and 16.71% year-to-date. The stock is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 10.8 times, which is marginally higher than that of StoneX, its closest competitor, at 9.8 times. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears fairly valued at current levels. Discover 12+ additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics with an InvestingPro subscription.

Analysts at HSBC have indicated that the potential for further upward re-rating of Marex’s stock is limited. They also noted that the current market environment might become less supportive and highlighted that bond prices are beginning to reflect lower policy rates. The market has already acknowledged the company’s strong initial performance post-IPO, but HSBC suggests that any further growth would need to be both significant and sustainable to warrant a higher valuation multiple.

The downgrade to Hold reflects the analysts’ view that while Marex’s stock has performed well, the current valuation already captures this success. Going forward, investors may need to temper their expectations for additional gains in the stock’s price.

In other recent news, Marex Group PLC has reported strong financial results, with its adjusted earnings per share exceeding expectations by $0.12, driven by higher revenues and non-operating income. The company’s revenue outperformed forecasts by $0.39, although increased expenses and a higher tax rate slightly offset these gains. Analysts from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods have maintained an Outperform rating with a price target of $36, noting the company’s robust performance in its Clearing and Agency & Execution segments. Additionally, Citi has raised its price target for Marex Group to $45, citing the company’s continued strong performance and market share growth. The firm highlighted Marex’s momentum across business segments and its benefits from increased market volatility, particularly in the commodities markets. Citi also pointed to Marex’s upcoming acquisitions of Aarna Capital and Hamilton Court as significant growth steps. Furthermore, Citi’s analyst Chris Allen previously increased the price target to $39, reflecting strong industry volumes and a positive outlook for Marex’s revenue growth. The acquisitions are expected to close in early 2025, contributing to Marex’s profit growth.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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