Insulet stock price target raised to $293 by Stifel

Published 21/02/2025, 14:20
Insulet stock price target raised to $293 by Stifel

On Friday, Stifel analysts increased their price target on Insulet Corporation (NASDAQ:PODD) shares to $293 from the previous $245, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week high of $289.46, having delivered an impressive 55.16% return over the past six months. The company maintains strong financial health with a robust current ratio of 3.58. Analyst Matthew Blackman provided insights into the company’s 2025 outlook, noting that while it aligns with consensus expectations, there are elements that suggest a seemingly softer first quarter.

Insulet Corporation, a medical device company valued at $20.24 billion, saw US and international new patient growth quarter-over-quarter, which has resulted in a positive year-over-year trajectory for new prescriptions in the second half of 2024. This growth has contributed to the company’s strong revenue growth of 22.07% and impressive gross profit margin of 69.79%. Over 85% of new US patients started on Insulet’s products from multiple daily injections (MDI). The company also experienced a significant uptick in Type 2 diabetes (T2) adoptions, with T2 patients now accounting for over 30% of new US prescriptions, up from over 25% in the third quarter. Health care provider prescribing rates for T2 increased by 20% quarter-over-quarter.

The analyst’s comments highlighted that full-year US guidance is in line with consensus expectations. However, the adjusted growth rate for the US in the first quarter is expected to be in the mid to high teens, which may appear to be a deceleration. Blackman pointed out that Insulet’s pricing for pharmacy services in 2025 is anticipated to be more consistent compared to historically higher pricing in the first quarter.

The new price target reflects adjustments to the 2025 estimates, taking into account the company’s guidance and the recent performance metrics. The analyst emphasized a cautious stance, expressing a desire to better understand the adoption of Insulet’s products among Type 2 diabetes patients relative to the current valuation, which is at 8.5 times the 2025 estimated sales, before adopting a more positive outlook on the stock.

In other recent news, Insulet Corporation reported impressive fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, with revenue reaching $597.5 million, marking a 17% year-over-year increase. This performance exceeded both company and analyst expectations, with U.S. Omnipod revenue hitting $443.7 million and international sales growing by 33.5% to $142 million. Earnings per share for the quarter stood at $1.39, surpassing estimates from Canaccord Genuity and consensus projections. Analysts from Canaccord Genuity and BTIG raised their price targets for Insulet to $324 and $310, respectively, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.

The company’s strategic focus on expanding its presence in the Type 2 diabetes market was noted, with over 30% of new U.S. patients in the fourth quarter being Type 2 diabetes patients. Insulet’s management expressed optimism about their U.S. sales force expansion and the increasing number of prescribers for Type 2 diabetes. Despite some concerns about rebate-related factors that could impact early 2025, Insulet expects these issues to stabilize throughout the year.

Insulet’s gross margin improved to 72.1% in the fourth quarter, and the company projects further margin expansion in 2025. The firm plans to hold an Investor Day on June 5, 2025, to discuss its strategies and projections further. Analysts have highlighted the company’s competitive edge in the Type 2 diabetes market and its strong recurring revenue model.

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