Jefferies maintains Hold on Honeywell stock despite improved outlook

Published 04/08/2025, 17:50
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Investing.com - Jefferies maintained its Hold rating and $240.00 price target on Honeywell International (NASDAQ:HON), aligning with the broader analyst consensus of Hold, despite the company raising its 2025 revenue guidance. The industrial conglomerate, currently valued at $139 billion, trades within analysts’ price target range of $210-$290.

Honeywell increased its organic revenue guidance by 2 percentage points for 2025, led by improvements in its Building Automation (BA) segment, now expected to grow at mid-to-high single digits versus the previous mid-single digit forecast. The company has demonstrated solid growth momentum, with revenue increasing 7.11% over the last twelve months.

The company’s Industrial Automation (IA) segment outlook also improved to a low-to-mid-single digit decline from a mid-single digit decline previously, based on year-to-date short cycle improvement with BA up 8% in the first half and IA down only 2%.

Jefferies adjusted its estimates for IA to a 2% organic decline versus its previous 4% decline forecast, while raising Building Automation growth expectations to 9% from 5% previously on continued U.S. strength.

The Aerospace segment outlook remains unchanged at 10% organic growth, despite lower Commercial Original Equipment expectations (now +16% versus +23% previously) being offset by higher Defense forecasts (now +9% versus +6% previously).

In other recent news, Honeywell International has adjusted its 2025 organic revenue guidance, increasing it by 2 percentage points. This adjustment is primarily driven by improvements in Building Automation and Industrial Automation sectors. Meanwhile, Resideo Technologies (NYSE:REZI) has announced a significant agreement with Honeywell to eliminate future payment obligations. Resideo will make a one-time payment of $1.59 billion to Honeywell in the third quarter of 2025, which will end annual payments of up to $140 million that were set to continue through 2043. Additionally, Resideo plans to separate its ADI Global Distribution business through a tax-free spin-off, resulting in two independent public companies by the second half of 2026. On the analyst front, Jefferies has maintained a Hold rating on Honeywell with a price target of $240, expressing caution about short-cycle momentum. JPMorgan, on the other hand, has raised Honeywell’s price target to $222, citing solid quarterly results and a conservative outlook for the latter half of the year. These developments highlight significant strategic and financial adjustments for both Honeywell and Resideo.

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