JPMorgan cuts SentinelOne stock rating on growth concerns

Published 29/05/2025, 11:16
© SentinelOne PR

On Thursday, JPMorgan analysts downgraded SentinelOne Inc (NYSE: S) from Overweight to Neutral, also reducing the price target to $19.00 from $22.00. The downgrade follows SentinelOne’s third Average Recurring Revenue (ARR) miss in five quarters, which suggests a potentially extended recovery period as the company strives to regain investor trust. According to InvestingPro data, while the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 1.74 and more cash than debt on its balance sheet, 22 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward. Despite SentinelOne posting revenue growth and profitability that aligned with forecasts for the first quarter, the cybersecurity firm fell short of its own ARR projections, guided second-quarter revenue below market consensus, and lowered its full-year growth expectations.

The company’s management attributed the disappointing results to increased macroeconomic uncertainty in April, which led to deal delays and contributed to weaker-than-expected performance and outlook. Although some vendors have experienced similar challenges during the early part of April, the situation seemed to normalize towards the end of the month. However, SentinelOne’s reliance on acquiring new customers for growth may make it more vulnerable to macroeconomic headwinds compared to its peers.

Despite the setbacks, SentinelOne continues to grow rapidly, with positive developments in key segments such as Cloud, AI, Data, and Endpoint. International revenue saw a 27% year-over-year increase, Data Solutions exceeded $100 million in ARR, and Purple AI achieved triple-digit year-over-year bookings growth. InvestingPro data reveals impressive revenue growth of 32.25% over the last twelve months, with a robust gross profit margin of 74.3%. The firm is nearing breakeven levels of profitability and cash flow, providing flexibility to invest in growth initiatives. Want deeper insights? InvestingPro offers exclusive access to detailed financial health scores and comprehensive research reports for over 1,400 US stocks, including SentinelOne.

Yet, the recent pattern of underperformance has led to a cautious investor stance. The analysts at JPMorgan believe that SentinelOne had the chance to set more conservative expectations after last quarter’s disappointing results but failed to do so. This quarter’s miss marks the third in the past five quarters where the company did not meet expectations, which could lead to a prolonged period of caution among investors. The stock has declined nearly 30% over the past six months, though InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued. Consequently, JPMorgan has lowered its estimates and price target for SentinelOne, suggesting that there may be more attractive investment opportunities within their coverage universe.

In other recent news, SentinelOne Inc. (NYSE:S) reported its first fiscal quarter earnings, which fell short of expectations, leading to several adjustments in stock ratings and price targets by analysts. The company’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 24% year-over-year, reaching $948.1 million, but this was below the anticipated figures. SentinelOne’s revenue for the first quarter was $229.0 million, slightly above consensus estimates, but the company revised its full-year revenue forecast downward to a midpoint of $998.5 million. DA Davidson adjusted its price target for SentinelOne to $17, maintaining a Neutral rating, while BTIG reduced its target to $21 but kept a Buy rating. Citizens JMP reiterated a Market Outperform rating with a $29 target, acknowledging the company’s strong free cash flow performance. Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) downgraded the stock from ’Overweight’ to ’Equal Weight’ and lowered the price target to $18, citing challenges in net new ARR growth. Stifel analysts maintained an Overweight rating and a $24 price target, highlighting SentinelOne’s resilience in the cybersecurity market despite economic challenges. These developments reflect a mixed sentiment among analysts regarding SentinelOne’s growth prospects and strategic position in the market.

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