JPMorgan downgrades Brambles stock to Neutral despite share price rally

Published 21/08/2025, 16:56
JPMorgan downgrades Brambles stock to Neutral despite share price rally

Investing.com - JPMorgan downgraded Brambles Ltd. (ASX:BXB) from Overweight to Neutral while raising its price target to AUD24.50 from AUD20.90.

The downgrade comes despite Brambles shares experiencing a remarkable rally following its latest earnings report, which JPMorgan described as "the 2nd-largest upside move vs. AS44 on record."

The firm noted that while Brambles’ business is performing well with accelerating return on capital invested (ROCI), the market reaction largely reflects "the scarcity of high-quality offshore exposed operators" rather than fundamental changes in the company’s outlook.

JPMorgan identified weakness in Brambles’ top line, which fell 6% short of their estimates due to tepid volume growth. However, improvements in the company’s IPEP (irrecoverable pooling equipment provision) and stronger-than-expected cost control helped offset revenue weakness.

These positive factors contributed to Brambles’ net profit after tax (NPAT) beating both JPMorgan’s estimates and consensus by approximately 3%, despite the revenue shortfall.

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