JPMorgan raises Checkpoint stock rating, target to $255

Published 26/02/2025, 10:50
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On Wednesday, JPMorgan analyst Brian Essex upgraded Checkpoint Software (ETR:SOWGn) Technologies (NASDAQ:CHKP) stock from Neutral to Overweight, simultaneously raising the price target to $255 from the previous $221. Currently trading at $218.63 with a market capitalization of $24 billion, the stock has delivered an impressive 37% return over the past year. The upgrade follows insights gained from recent discussions at CPX, which have bolstered confidence in the company’s growth prospects. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock is currently trading near its 52-week high of $226.03.

Essex noted that Checkpoint’s emphasis on platform development and innovation is showing signs of success, potentially positioning the company for accelerated growth in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026. This outlook is supported by the company’s strong financial health, earning a "GOOD" rating from InvestingPro’s comprehensive analysis. Despite historically underperforming compared to other companies in JPMorgan’s coverage universe, Essex believes Checkpoint is now set up differently for the second half of 2025.

Checkpoint has long prioritized the quality, integration, and usability of its products, resulting in a robust offering of Network Security products. This focus has helped maintain impressive gross profit margins of 88.5%. Historically, the company has allocated less to Sales and Marketing than its Network Security peers, which, while sustaining healthy operating margins, has led to growth rates lower than those of its peers and missed market opportunities.

However, Essex pointed out that increased investment in Sales and Marketing over the past year, coupled with a focus on emerging products, is beginning to yield positive results. The company has achieved 6.2% revenue growth in the last twelve months. This strategic shift is expected to drive the company’s growth and market position forward, as evidenced by the upgraded stock rating and price target. For deeper insights into Checkpoint’s growth metrics and 14 additional exclusive ProTips, visit InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Checkpoint Software has reported strong financial results and strategic developments that have caught the attention of several analyst firms. The company’s impressive performance in the fourth quarter, with an 11% increase in billings and a 12% rise in Remaining Performance Obligations, has led to multiple analysts raising their price targets for the stock. TD Cowen, Scotiabank (TSX:BNS), and BMO Capital Markets have all increased their targets, with TD Cowen and Scotiabank setting theirs at $250, while BMO raised it to $245, maintaining a Market Perform rating. BofA Securities also adjusted its price target to $230, noting a revenue growth of 6.1% year-over-year, which surpassed expectations.

The recent appointment of Nadav Zafrir as CEO and other executive changes have been highlighted as strategic moves that align with Checkpoint’s growth objectives. Analysts from Stifel have acknowledged the new leadership’s potential to drive positive changes, although they are holding their rating until they see sustainable double-digit growth. Meanwhile, BMO Capital Markets has expressed confidence in Checkpoint’s ability to evolve into a more comprehensive security company, despite maintaining a Market Perform rating due to current valuation concerns.

Overall, the company’s robust product offerings and strategic initiatives have positioned it well for future growth, with analysts expressing optimism about its long-term performance goals. However, BofA Securities has noted that some developments may not impact short-term performance, and they have adjusted their margin expectations accordingly. Investors will be keenly observing Checkpoint Software’s progress as it seeks to capitalize on industry growth and expand its market presence.

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