KeyBanc lowers Steel Dynamics price target on softer galvanized spreads

Published 20/06/2025, 13:26
KeyBanc lowers Steel Dynamics price target on softer galvanized spreads

Investing.com - KeyBanc reduced its price target on Steel Dynamics stock (NASDAQ:STLD) to $153.00 from $155.00 on Thursday, while maintaining an Overweight rating on the shares. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 2.74x and has consistently raised its dividend for 12 consecutive years.

The price target adjustment reflects softer near-term galvanized spreads, though KeyBanc continues to support its Overweight rating based on the company’s long-term diversification strategy and free cash flow potential. The company’s management has demonstrated confidence in its strategy through aggressive share buybacks, as highlighted in InvestingPro’s analysis, which offers comprehensive insights through its Pro Research Report covering 1,400+ US stocks.

At its recent closing price of approximately $130, Steel Dynamics trades at roughly 9.5 times EV/EBITDA on KeyBanc’s 2025 estimates and about 7.0 times EV/EBITDA on its 2026 estimates, compared to the company’s historical normalized multiple of 7-9 times.

At the new price target of $153, Steel Dynamics shares would trade at approximately 10.5 times EV/EBITDA on KeyBanc’s 2025 estimates and about 8.5 times EV/EBITDA on its 2026 estimates.

KeyBanc noted that when including the aluminum investment on a risk-adjusted and discounted basis, the stock currently trades at approximately 7.5 times on its 2025 estimates and about 6.0 times on its 2026 estimates.

In other recent news, Steel Dynamics announced its second quarter 2025 earnings guidance, projecting earnings per share between $2.00 and $2.04. This forecast shows an improvement from the first quarter’s $1.44 per share but falls short of the $2.72 per share reported in the same period last year. S&P Global Ratings has revised its outlook for Steel Dynamics from stable to positive, citing steady financial performance and reduced project risk as the company nears completion of a major aluminum rolling mill. The company continues to expand its aluminum operations, with first shipments expected by mid-2025, and has seen increased order activity extending through the year.

Additionally, Steel Dynamics has announced a leadership transition, with Glenn Pushis retiring and Miguel Alvarez assuming new responsibilities. The company also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.50 per share for the second quarter of 2025. At its recent Annual Meeting of Shareholders, Steel Dynamics elected nine directors and ratified Ernst & Young LLP as auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These developments reflect the company’s strategic focus on diversification and shareholder value enhancement.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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