KeyBanc maintains Matador stock Overweight rating, $60 target

Published 24/04/2025, 14:04
KeyBanc maintains Matador stock Overweight rating, $60 target

On Thursday, KeyBanc Capital Markets reiterated its Overweight rating on Matador Resources Company (NYSE:MTDR) with a price target of $60.00. According to InvestingPro data, analysts’ targets range from $47 to $86, with the company currently trading at an attractive P/E ratio of 5.7x and a market capitalization of $5.1 billion. InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued. The reiteration follows Matador’s first-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations. KeyBanc analysts highlighted the company’s strong performance and a well-structured approach to navigating current market uncertainties, including plans to reduce its drilling activity and adjust its total number of new wells in 2025.

Matador Resources reported robust earnings for the first quarter of 2025, and KeyBanc anticipates a modestly positive market response. The company’s earnings beat, combined with its effective execution and sensible strategy for managing both its share price and broader economic fluctuations, were particularly noted by the analysts. With a healthy gross profit margin of 80.5% and a dividend yield of 3.06%, Matador continues to demonstrate strong financial fundamentals. Discover more detailed insights about MTDR’s performance in the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro. KeyBanc supports Matador’s decision to decommission a drilling rig mid-year and reduce the number of net wells turned in line (TILs) by 6.7 in 2025, a move seen as prudent given the uncertain global oil supply outlook and potential changes in OPEC+ production levels.

The firm also addressed Matador’s approach to returning capital to shareholders. KeyBanc pointed out that the announcement of share repurchases should not come as a surprise to investors, as management had previously indicated that it was considering such a move earlier in the month. Matador’s proactive stance on share repurchases is seen as a positive step, especially during periods of market volatility.

As the first oil-exposed exploration and production company to report first-quarter 2025 earnings, Matador’s performance and strategy updates are closely watched by investors. KeyBanc believes that the company’s communication regarding changes in capital expenditure and shareholder returns will be well-received, reflecting a leadership team that is responsive to the current economic environment and willing to take action to enhance shareholder value. InvestingPro analysis reveals two important insights: the stock has shown significant price volatility recently, and it’s trading at a high P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth. Subscribers can access 6 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics to make more informed investment decisions.

In other recent news, Matador Resources announced its first quarter 2025 financial results, reporting earnings that exceeded analyst expectations but revenues that fell short. The company achieved adjusted earnings per share of $1.99, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.84. However, revenue was reported at $909.9 million, below the projected $959.65 million. Matador’s oil and natural gas production saw a significant increase of 33% year-over-year, averaging 198,631 barrels of oil equivalent per day, slightly above its guidance range. Additionally, Matador’s board approved a $400 million share repurchase program, complementing its current quarterly dividend of $0.3125 per share. In response to commodity price volatility, the company plans to reduce its drilling activity from nine to eight rigs by mid-2025. This reduction is expected to decrease capital expenditures by $100 million to $1.275 billion, allowing for greater financial flexibility. The company emphasized that this adjustment could facilitate debt repayment, share repurchases, and potential dividend increases.

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