KeyBanc maintains NVIDIA stock Overweight, $190 target

Published 08/04/2025, 13:58
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On Tuesday, KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained their Overweight rating on NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) with a price target of $190.00. The firm's analyst highlighted challenges in the semiconductor sector, particularly with NVIDIA's partners facing difficulties with the yields of the GB200 NVL rack, leading to shipments in the first quarter that are below expectations. Furthermore, potential testing issues could postpone the launch of NVIDIA's Blackwell Ultra (B300/GB300) until the fourth quarter of 2025. According to InvestingPro data, NVIDIA maintains a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating exceptional financial strength despite these temporary setbacks.

Despite these setbacks, KeyBanc expressed confidence in their near-term (NT) estimates for NVIDIA, attributing this to the revenue recognition dynamics involved with the company's sales to Electronic Manufacturing Services (EMS). The analyst recommended that investors maintain their holdings in NVIDIA, suggesting that the current issues are temporary and should not deter long-term investment. This aligns with NVIDIA's impressive 114.2% revenue growth over the last twelve months and strong financial health metrics revealed by InvestingPro's analysis.

The report from KeyBanc comes as NVIDIA continues to navigate a complex and competitive semiconductor landscape. The company's GB200 NVL rack and the anticipated Blackwell Ultra are critical components of its product lineup, and delays in their deployment could impact NVIDIA's market position and financial performance. With a market capitalization of $2.38 trillion and 24 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward, NVIDIA remains a dominant force in the semiconductor industry. For deeper insights into NVIDIA's valuation and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro's detailed research reports.

NVIDIA's stock performance will likely be influenced by how the company and its partners address the yield challenges and testing issues mentioned by KeyBanc. Investors will be watching closely to see if NVIDIA can overcome these short-term hurdles and maintain its momentum in the semiconductor industry.

The analyst's note underscores the importance for NVIDIA to manage its production and testing processes effectively to meet the expected launch timelines for its products. As the fourth quarter of 2025 approaches, the market will be looking for updates on the release of the Blackwell Ultra and improvements in the GB200 NVL rack yields.

In other recent news, Nvidia has been at the forefront of developments in the tech sector. Bernstein analysts reaffirmed their Outperform rating on Nvidia, setting a price target of $185. This comes amid concerns regarding the impact of tariffs on Nvidia's AI datacenter products. However, the analysts noted that Nvidia's products manufactured in Mexico may be exempt from these tariffs due to the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement. This exemption could mitigate some of the adverse effects of the tariffs on Nvidia's business.

In related news, semiconductor stocks globally have faced significant declines due to the imposition of tariffs by the Trump administration on major chip-making regions such as Taiwan and China. The tariffs have led to a drop in global markets, impacting companies like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. and Tokyo Electron. Meanwhile, Nvidia's shares have also seen a decline, reflecting broader market trends.

Additionally, Ming-Chi Kuo from TF International Securities has advised caution for investors regarding the potential impact of semiconductor tariffs. The focus on tariffs has raised questions about the future of the semiconductor industry and its supply chains. These developments underscore the ongoing challenges faced by companies like Nvidia in navigating the current economic landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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