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On Tuesday, KeyBanc analysts reiterated their Overweight rating on Casey’s General Stores (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CASY) stock, maintaining their price target at $500.00. The company, currently trading at $497.07 with a market capitalization of $18.7 billion, appears overvalued according to InvestingPro Fair Value metrics. The reaffirmation follows the company’s strong fiscal fourth-quarter results, which exceeded consensus estimates, largely due to robust fuel margins and market share gains. The company has demonstrated impressive performance, with a 34.4% total return over the past year and maintains a solid financial health score of "GOOD" according to InvestingPro analysis.
Casey’s reported fiscal fourth-quarter results, ending in April, showed fuel margins outperforming expectations. However, inside sales comparisons were below consensus, affected by softer sales in prepared foods, dispensed beverages, and grocery & general merchandise.
For the fiscal year 2026, Casey’s management anticipates EBITDA growth between 10% and 12%. The company expects fuel gallons to range from a decline of 1% to an increase of 1%, while inside sales are projected to grow by 2% to 5%. The implied earnings per share for fiscal year 2026 is expected to be between $15.04 and $15.93, aligning with consensus estimates.
KeyBanc analysts noted that more details are expected during Casey’s earnings call scheduled for Wednesday morning. The call is anticipated to cover quarter-to-date trends, inside sales trends, the performance of Fikes, and the pipeline for store projects.
The analysts continue to maintain a positive long-term outlook for Casey’s General Stores, reflecting confidence in the company’s strategic direction and operational performance. With a P/E ratio of 30.5 and revenue growth of 6.6%, the company has shown strong momentum. Discover 8 more exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive analysis in our detailed Pro Research Report, available with your subscription.
In other recent news, Casey’s General Stores Inc. reported strong financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, surpassing both earnings and revenue expectations. The company achieved an earnings per share of $2.63, which exceeded the projected $2.03, and reported revenue of $3.99 billion, surpassing the anticipated $3.95 billion. This performance highlights Casey’s ability to consistently outperform market expectations. Additionally, Casey’s recorded a 9% increase in diluted earnings per share for the fiscal year, reaching $14.64, and a net income of $547 million. The company also experienced a 13% increase in EBITDA, totaling $1.2 billion. Looking forward, Casey’s anticipates EBITDA growth of 10-12% for the fiscal year 2026. In terms of expansion, the company plans to open 80 new stores and has announced $125 million in share buybacks. Analyst firms have noted these developments, contributing to a positive outlook for Casey’s future performance.
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