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On Friday, BMO Capital Markets maintained a positive outlook on Kinaxis (KSS:CN) (OTC: KXSCF) shares, with analyst Thanos Moschopoulos increasing the price target to Cdn$190.00, up from the previous Cdn$185.00, while keeping an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment follows the company’s second-quarter results for fiscal year 2024, which surpassed expectations in terms of SaaS revenue and EBITDA.
Kinaxis reported a record quarter for new Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) bookings, marking a significant rebound from a weaker third quarter in 2024. This achievement was partly attributed to an increase in expansion deals. Moschopoulos noted that the fiscal year 2025 guidance was slightly lower for SaaS revenue but slightly higher for EBITDA compared to previous expectations.
In response to the recent financial outcomes and forecasts, BMO Capital has revised its fiscal year 2025 EBITDA estimate upwards and made minor changes to its financial model for Kinaxis. The firm considers the stock’s current valuation to be appealing and suggests that the market has already factored in the risks associated with the upcoming CEO transition at Kinaxis.
Moschopoulos expressed continued confidence in the company, stating, "We remain Outperform-rated on KXS following Q2/24 results that were above consensus on SaaS revenue and EBITDA, while FY2025 guidance was a hair light on SaaS revenue and a hair above on EBITDA. KXS had a record quarter of new ARR bookings—representing a strong recovery from weakness in Q3/24—helped in part by a growing mix of expansion deals. We’ve raised our FY2025E EBITDA and have otherwise made minor changes to our model. We view valuation as attractive, and believe the uncertainty pertaining to the CEO transition is adequately priced in."
Investors and market watchers will likely keep a close eye on Kinaxis’ performance as the company continues to navigate its CEO transition and aims to maintain its growth trajectory in the competitive SaaS market.
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