Lake Street cuts PowerFleet stock target to $8, keeps buy rating

Published 27/05/2025, 14:46
© PowerFleet PR

On Tuesday, Lake Street Capital Markets adjusted its price target for PowerFleet, Inc (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:AIOT), reducing it to $8.00 from the previous $11.00, while still endorsing the stock with a Buy rating. The stock, currently trading at $4.91, has experienced significant pressure, falling 18.31% in the past week alone. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $8 to $15, with a strong Buy consensus rating. The decision follows observations of general market softness impacting the company, though no order cancellations have been reported.

Jaeson Schmidt of Lake Street Capital Markets noted that PowerFleet is experiencing delays and longer sales cycles, which are expected to present short-term challenges. He also mentioned the potential for slight gross margin impacts due to tariffs, though the company maintains a healthy gross margin of 52.6%. Despite these headwinds, the analyst expressed optimism about the company’s ability to realize significant cost synergies. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 8 additional key insights about PowerFleet’s financial health and growth prospects.

In the fiscal year 2025, PowerFleet benefited from an $11 million gain, part of a broader $16 million in annual cost synergies. Lake Street anticipates that these cost-saving measures will continue to benefit the company moving forward. However, the firm has adjusted its expectations for fiscal year 2026, predicting a stronger performance in the second half of the year than initially forecasted.

Investors are advised to look out for PowerFleet’s full fourth-quarter results, which are scheduled to be released on June 16th. While currently unprofitable, analysts forecast the company to achieve profitability this year with projected earnings of $0.37 per share and impressive revenue growth of 137%. Lake Street’s reiteration of the Buy rating signifies confidence in PowerFleet’s long-term prospects, despite the need to lower the price target due to the current economic climate’s effects on the company’s near-term operations. For comprehensive analysis and detailed financial metrics, investors can access PowerFleet’s complete Research Report on InvestingPro, part of the platform’s coverage of over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, Powerfleet, Inc. has announced its preliminary financial results for fiscal year 2025, revealing a total revenue of approximately $362.5 million, which represents a 25% increase from the previous year. The company’s adjusted EBITDA is anticipated to be around $71 million, marking a significant 65% growth year-over-year. Powerfleet also reported $16 million in annual cost synergies, with $11 million reflected within the fiscal year, leading to a proforma adjusted EBITDA of $76 million, surpassing the prior guidance of $75 million. Net adjusted debt is projected to be better than expected at approximately $230 million. Looking ahead, Powerfleet has provided an optimistic outlook for fiscal year 2026, expecting total revenue growth of 20% to 25% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 45% to 55%. These projections account for a modest step down in revenue due to accounting changes and the discontinuation of legacy FSM revenue. CEO Steve Towe attributes the company’s robust performance to strong demand, disciplined execution, and effective integration efforts. Powerfleet’s confidence in long-term growth is supported by the success of Unity, its rapidly maturing device-agnostic platform. The company will participate in upcoming investor conferences and has scheduled a conference call to discuss its Q4 and full-year FY25 results.

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