Loop Capital sets $95 target on Griffon stock with buy rating

Published 14/02/2025, 03:54
Loop Capital sets $95 target on Griffon stock with buy rating

On Friday, Loop Capital Markets initiated coverage on Griffon Corporation (NYSE:GFF), assigning a Buy rating to the company's shares with a price target of $95.00. The firm's analyst, Jeffrey Stevenson, highlighted the sustainability of increased margins in Griffon's Home and Building Products (HBP) segment and anticipated a rise in valuation due to improvements in the Consumer and Professional Products (CPP) segment. According to InvestingPro data, Griffon demonstrates strong financial health with a "GREAT" overall score, currently trading at $76.37 with a P/E ratio of 15.07.

Griffon Corporation, recognized as a leading manufacturer of residential and commercial garage doors in North America, is expected to maintain its growth above the market average in the residential sector. This forecast is based on the company's strong brand presence, continuous product innovation, high service quality, and solid partnerships with long-term channel partners. InvestingPro analysis reveals that management has been aggressively buying back shares, while maintaining dividend payments for 15 consecutive years, demonstrating strong shareholder commitment.

Stevenson emphasized that the company-specific factors have led to a notable improvement in the HBP segment's adjusted EBITDA margin, which has exceeded 30% for two consecutive years. This performance surpasses Griffon's previous long-term guidance of 25-28% margins, which had been set with a potential market downturn in mind—a scenario that Stevenson now considers unlikely.

In addition to the HBP segment's success, the CPP segment has undergone a strategic shift towards an asset-light business model. This change comes as part of Griffon's completed global sourcing strategy, which aims to revitalize the previously underperforming segment and enhance its margin profile.

Loop Capital's positive outlook on Griffon Corporation is rooted in the company's strategic initiatives and the resulting financial improvements, suggesting potential for further stock appreciation as the turnaround efforts in the CPP segment progress. With analyst targets ranging from $95 to $115, and a robust EBITDA of $518.09M, InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional valuable insights and a comprehensive Pro Research Report, offering deep-dive analysis of Griffon's financial health and growth prospects.

In other recent news, Griffon Corporation has seen a variety of developments. After the company's first-quarter financial results, Stephens analyst Trey Grooms raised the price target for Griffon from $100 to $105, maintaining an Overweight rating on the company's shares. Despite sales falling slightly short of expectations, Griffon's EBITDA margins surpassed estimates. The company's Consumer Products Group experienced lower sales but benefited from revenues acquired through the Pope acquisition. Meanwhile, the Home and Building Products segment reported flat sales year-over-year, aligning with estimates.

Griffon's management reaffirmed the full-year 2025 guidance, expressing confidence in achieving long-term margin targets even under potential China tariffs. Grooms noted promising early indicators from the global sourcing strategy and favorable price and cost dynamics as reasons for the positive outlook.

In its first-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings, Griffon surpassed analysts' expectations with an earnings per share of $1.39, compared to the forecasted $1.17. However, the company's revenue came in slightly below expectations at $632 million versus the forecasted $638.03 million, representing a 2% year-over-year decrease. Despite the slight revenue decline, the company reported a 23% EBITDA margin and a significant increase in net income, which rose to $71 million from $42 million in the previous year.

These recent developments reflect Griffon's strategic initiatives and the company's ability to navigate market challenges while maintaining financial targets.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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