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On Monday, Canaccord Genuity analysts upgraded Lynas (F:LYI) Rare Earths Ltd (LYC:AU) (OTC: LYSDY) stock from Hold to Buy, setting a new price target of AUD7.50. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a GOOD financial health score and shows a solid current ratio of 4.18, indicating strong liquidity.
While trading at a P/E of 77.06, analysts expect the company to remain profitable this year. The upgrade comes with the expectation that impurity issues affecting the Kalgoorlie MREC will be resolved in the upcoming months. Lynas has indicated it anticipates reaching its targeted 10.5ktpa NdPr run rate from the June quarter of 2025, which follows the completion of its Mt Weld expansion.
InvestingPro analysis reveals the company is slightly undervalued at current levels, with analysts forecasting significant revenue growth of 50% for FY2025. Get access to 10+ additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive valuation metrics with InvestingPro.
The company has also acknowledged the likelihood of continued challenging market conditions in the short term, including the impact of an extended lunar holiday period in China. Canaccord analysts highlighted the forthcoming Chinese production and refining quota updates, typically released in March, as a potential catalyst for Lynas shares. The stock has shown resilience with a 10.13% return year-to-date, while maintaining relatively low price volatility according to InvestingPro analysis.
The latest quota update in August 2025 saw quotas remain largely unchanged for the first time in five years, a development that led to strong trading for Lynas. Analysts at Canaccord believe that a similar outcome in the upcoming update could positively affect Lynas stock.
The analysts' comments reflect a cautious but optimistic outlook for Lynas, as the company navigates through short-term market challenges and works towards achieving its production goals. The new price target of AUD7.50 represents Canaccord Genuity's confidence in the company's future performance and its ability to resolve current production issues.
In other recent news, Lynas Rare Earths Ltd. recorded a steady quarter, marked by strategic focus and stable production. The company reported a gradual increase in Neodymium-Praseodymium (NdPr) pricing and a significant 92% boost in contained Dysprosium (Dy) and Terbium (Tb). Despite market challenges, Lynas prioritizes margin over volume, aligning production with demand, and enhancing operational efficiencies, particularly at its Kalgoorlie plant.
Lynas is also addressing licensing issues in Malaysia and collaborating with the US government on a project concerning wastewater management. The company aims to increase NdPr production to 10,500 tonnes by the end of the financial year, maintaining confidence in long-term growth across various sectors, including automotive and electronics.
Furthermore, Lynas is focused on capturing cost efficiencies, especially at the Kalgoorlie plant. However, the company faces a challenging market environment with NdPr prices remaining in the low to mid-50s per kilo.
Despite these challenges, Lynas continues to navigate the complex market landscape, balancing operational challenges with strategic initiatives aimed at long-term profitability and growth.
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