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Investing.com - Macquarie has initiated coverage on Guming Holdings (1364:HK) with an Outperform rating and a price target of HK$24.00.
Guming, also known as Goodme, is the second-largest tea drink brand in China with over 11,000 stores as of the first half of 2025, according to Macquarie. The company’s operations remain concentrated in eight provinces, which accounted for 83% of its gross merchandise value in 2024.
Macquarie notes that Guming is planning to expand into new regions, with aims to enter 2-3 new markets annually. The research firm expects limited margin dilution from this expansion pace.
The investment bank forecasts Guming will experience a high-single-digit same-store sales growth decline in 2026 due to a high base from food delivery subsidies this year. Despite this, Macquarie projects 14% revenue growth in 2026, supported by strong store expansion.
Guming plans to open 3,000 new stores in 2025, up from 913 in 2024, with Macquarie expecting a 26% compound annual growth rate in store count over the 2024-2029 period.
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