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On Wednesday, Maxim Group adjusted its price target for reAlpha Tech Corp. (NASDAQ:AIRE) to $1.25, down from the previous target of $3.00, while continuing to endorse the stock with a Buy rating. The stock currently trades at $0.54, having declined nearly 82% year-to-date. InvestingPro data shows multiple warning signs, including significant price volatility and declining momentum, with 14 additional ProTips available to subscribers. The revision followed the company’s announcement of its first-quarter 2025 financial performance, which included revenues of $0.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.0 million. Although the revenue exceeded both Maxim Group’s projections and the consensus, the adjusted EBITDA did not meet expectations. The company’s last twelve months EBITDA stands at -$7.35 million, with InvestingPro analysis indicating a weak overall financial health score of 1.15 out of 5.
The company, which reported its quarterly results on Monday, conducted a webinar the following Tuesday to discuss the details. Maxim Group anticipates that reAlpha Tech Corp.’s revenue will benefit from the ancillary services it provides, such as title insurance—a business acquired in July 2024—and mortgage brokering, following the acquisition of two companies in September 2024 and February 2025. The AI home-buying platform that reAlpha launched in April 2024 is expected to continue attracting users and generate leads for its services, especially after the company’s recent strategy shift to offer rebates on commissions.
Despite the positive outlook on revenue, Maxim Group has increased its forecast for the company’s adjusted EBITDA loss for 2025 and 2026, citing higher expenditure on growth initiatives. The firm highlighted several factors that could propel reAlpha’s growth, including industry changes, new service offerings, geographical expansion, strategic acquisitions, and a sizable total addressable market.
As of March 31, 2025, reAlpha reported having $1.2 million in cash and $6.0 million in debt. The company also has access to a $7.65 million at-the-market (ATM) offering and $5.0 million in advertising credit. With a current ratio of 0.58 and short-term obligations exceeding liquid assets, InvestingPro analysis suggests the company is quickly burning through its cash reserves. Following the end of the quarter, reAlpha raised an additional $3.1 million in gross proceeds through the exercise of warrants. However, Maxim Group suggests that the company may need to seek further capital or utilize its ATM in the third quarter of 2025 to support its operations.
In terms of valuation, reAlpha is currently trading at an enterprise value to 2026 estimated revenue multiple of 4.6 times, which is higher than the peer group average of 2.5 times. With a market capitalization of $27.44 million and negative earnings yield, InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock is currently overvalued relative to its fundamentals. The lowered price target of $1.25 is based on a discounted cash flow analysis over a 10-year period, which corresponds to an 8.0 times enterprise value to revenue multiple on Maxim Group’s 2026 revenue estimate for reAlpha.
In other recent news, reAlpha Tech Corp. has completed the exercise of outstanding warrants, generating approximately $3.1 million in gross proceeds. The warrants, initially issued with an exercise price of $1.44 per share, were exercised at a reduced price of $0.75 per share. H.C. Wainwright & Co. served as the exclusive placement agent for this transaction. Additionally, reAlpha has issued new unregistered warrants for up to 8.4 million shares, which will become exercisable upon stockholder approval and expire in 2028. The company plans to use the proceeds for general working capital.
In a separate development, reAlpha Tech Corp. has fulfilled a partial debt redemption by paying $450,000 of a $545,000 redemption notice from Streeterville Capital, LLC. This is part of a secured promissory note agreement with the lender. The remaining $95,000 is expected to be paid shortly, reducing the outstanding balance to approximately $4.67 million. Furthermore, reAlpha has appointed Cristol Rippe as its new Chief Marketing Officer. Rippe’s extensive experience in fintech and real estate is anticipated to bolster the company’s marketing strategies and brand presence.
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