Melius initiates coverage on Cava stock with Hold rating, $95 target

Published 14/07/2025, 12:38
Melius initiates coverage on Cava stock with Hold rating, $95 target

Investing.com - Melius Research initiated coverage on CAVA Group Inc (NYSE:CAVA) with a Hold rating and a $95.00 price target on Monday. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for the stock range from $90 to $125, with the current price suggesting overvaluation based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value model.

The research firm described Cava as "one of the most exciting growth stories in fast casual," noting the restaurant chain’s Mediterranean flavors, health-forward positioning, and strong unit economics. The company’s revenue grew by 32% in the last twelve months, with analysts forecasting 24% growth for the current year.

Melius acknowledged that Cava’s early growth trajectory is proceeding well but indicated that the current share price already reflects much of this success.

The firm expressed confidence in the brand’s long-term potential to expand beyond its coastal roots into new markets across the United States.

Melius stated it would await either a more favorable entry point for the stock or evidence of upside from accelerated unit growth or new revenue channels such as catering, loyalty programs, or enhanced digital operations.

In other recent news, CAVA Group Inc. reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with consolidated revenues reaching $329 million, marking a 28% increase year-over-year. This performance exceeded both Loop Capital’s estimate of $307 million and the consensus estimate of $327 million. The company also reported an adjusted EBITDA of $44.9 million, surpassing Loop Capital’s projection of $40.8 million and the consensus estimate of $43.9 million. CAVA’s adjusted earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.22, outperforming both Loop Capital’s forecast of $0.17 and the consensus estimate of $0.14.

In other developments, KeyBanc initiated coverage on CAVA Group with an Overweight rating, setting a price target of $100. The firm highlighted CAVA’s potential to expand in the fast-casual Mediterranean segment. Meanwhile, Stifel lowered its price target for CAVA to $125 from $175, citing difficult comparisons for same-restaurant sales growth but maintained a Buy rating on the stock. Additionally, Bernstein reiterated an Outperform rating with a price target of $115, noting CAVA’s effective supply chain management and growth potential. At the company’s annual meeting, shareholders approved all board nominees and executive compensation proposals, and Deloitte & Touche LLP was ratified as the independent public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending 2025.

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