Mizuho lifts Arcutis stock price target to $21 from $20

Published 26/02/2025, 12:16
Mizuho lifts Arcutis stock price target to $21 from $20

On Wednesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities showed confidence in Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc . (NASDAQ:ARQT) by raising their price target on the company’s shares to $21.00, up from the previous $20.00, while maintaining an Outperform rating. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears undervalued based on its Fair Value analysis, with analyst targets ranging from $13 to $29 per share. The adjustment came after Arcutis reported fourth-quarter earnings for 2024 that surpassed expectations, largely due to an unexpected reduction in product return reserves.

The company’s Zoryve franchise sales reached $69.4 million, outperforming the pre-announced figure of approximately $63 million for the same quarter, and notably higher than Mizuho’s forecast of $57 million and the consensus estimate of $55 million. The increase in sales was attributed to a one-time decrease of about $4.1 million in reserves for product returns. InvestingPro data reveals impressive gross profit margins of nearly 90% and strong revenue growth of 183% over the last twelve months.

Mizuho had previously revised its sales forecast for the Zoryve franchise to surpass the consensus, but with year-to-date prescriptions trending above expectations and positive commentary from management regarding gross-to-net sales for 2025, the firm has once again increased its sales projection. The new estimate for the Zoryve franchise’s 2025 sales is approximately $299 million, up from the former forecast of $277 million and ahead of the $289 million market consensus.

Arcutis management has expressed comfort with the market consensus forecast of $289 million, indicating potential for further upside. Mizuho’s updated forecast does not yet fully account for the potential impact of the Kowa primary care and pediatric co-promotion agreement. The firm reiterated its Outperform rating and raised the price target to reflect the positive developments and expectations for the company’s sales growth. InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional ProTips and a comprehensive research report covering Arcutis’s financial health, growth prospects, and detailed valuation analysis.

In other recent news, Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc. reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing a significant earnings per share (EPS) beat. The company announced an EPS of -$0.09, which was notably better than the expected -$0.28. Additionally, Arcutis’ revenue for the quarter was $71.3 million, surpassing the anticipated $54.72 million. This strong financial performance was attributed to successful product launches and expanded market reach. Arcutis is optimistic about its growth trajectory, projecting an annual revenue run rate of approximately $250 million by the end of 2025. The company remains confident in meeting the consensus revenue forecast of $280-$285 million for 2025, driven by new product indications and a broader prescriber base. Arcutis’ leadership emphasized the company’s strategic focus on expanding its market presence and product offerings. These recent developments reflect the company’s robust growth and positive market positioning.

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