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On Tuesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities reiterated its Outperform rating and $210.00 price target for Oracle Corporation (NYSE:ORCL), expressing confidence in the company's market position despite its recent underperformance compared to the Nasdaq. According to Mizuho, Oracle's stock decline of 12% since its peak in November, which contrasts with a 4% drop in the Nasdaq, is primarily due to concerns over a potential TikTok shutdown in the United States and investor worries that Oracle might not meet its earnings per share (EPS) growth targets.
Mizuho analysts have assessed that the downturn in Oracle shares is not justified, highlighting the technology giant's involvement in a reported $500 billion joint venture focused on AI infrastructure as a significant growth opportunity. They also believe that despite the executive order from President Trump, TikTok, which operates on Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI), is likely to continue its operations in the U.S.
The firm acknowledges the possibility of pressure on Oracle's operating margins if OCI's growth, which is projected to surpass 14% year-over-year, outpaces the rest of the business. However, Mizuho estimates that Oracle can still achieve an EPS increase of over 10% by the fiscal year 2026, given that operating income dollars are expected to rise.
The reiteration of the Outperform rating and the $210 price target by Mizuho comes at a time when Oracle is navigating through a dynamic market environment, with the potential TikTok situation and investor concerns being key factors in the company's stock performance. Oracle's strategic moves in the AI sector and its cloud infrastructure growth prospects remain central to Mizuho's positive outlook on the stock.
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