Morgan Stanley downgrades Vitru Brasil stock to Underweight on distance learning risks

Published 06/08/2025, 11:32
Morgan Stanley downgrades Vitru Brasil stock to Underweight on distance learning risks

Investing.com - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) downgraded Vitru Brasil Empreendimentos Participacoes (VTRU3:BZ) from Equalweight to Underweight on Wednesday, setting a price target of R$9.50.

The downgrade reflects concerns about regulatory changes affecting distance learning (DL), which represents approximately 80% of Vitru’s revenue, according to Morgan Stanley.

The firm acknowledges Vitru’s strong execution and track record, noting that most Uniasselvi hubs are prepared for face-to-face classes with live instructors already in place.

Despite this preparation, Morgan Stanley believes the company faces "asymmetric downside risks" due to its heavy reliance on distance learning amid regulatory changes in Brazil’s education sector.

The firm specifically highlighted that distance learning nursing programs alone contribute an estimated 5% to Vitru’s EBITDA, and meeting new requirements could require "substantial mobilization of variable costs" that might exceed the impact on competitors.

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