Morgan Stanley raises Lumentum stock price target to $76

Published 04/06/2025, 11:08
Morgan Stanley raises Lumentum stock price target to $76

On Wednesday, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts raised the price target for Lumentum Holdings Inc . (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:LITE) stock to $76 from $70, with the stock currently trading at $77.65. The analysts kept an Equalweight rating for the company, joining 15 other analysts who have revised their earnings expectations upward for the upcoming period, according to InvestingPro data.

The decision to adjust the price target follows Lumentum’s positive revision of its fiscal fourth-quarter expectations. The company is set to make an appearance at a conference this week, although detailed explanations for the revision were not provided.

Morgan Stanley analysts noted that the revision likely stems from a combination of Lumentum’s business segments, considering the company’s margin profile. The valuation of Lumentum is deemed reasonable by the analysts, given the competitive nature of its business and the expectations already factored into its stock price.

Lumentum, a key player in the optical and photonics products sector with a market capitalization of $5.4 billion, continues to attract attention as it adjusts its outlook for the upcoming quarter. The company’s performance and strategic moves remain under observation by market participants and analysts alike. For deeper insights into Lumentum’s financial health and growth prospects, access the comprehensive Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Lumentum Holdings Inc. reported impressive fiscal third-quarter results, with both revenue and adjusted earnings per share (EPS) surpassing the company’s guidance limits. Revenue reached $425.2 million, exceeding projections of $418.15 million, while EPS stood at $0.57, outperforming the expected $0.50. The company’s performance was driven by strong demand in the cloud and networking sectors, particularly for cloud-based transceivers, which are expected to grow by over 50% sequentially in the next quarter.

Lumentum provided guidance for the fourth quarter, projecting revenue between $440 million and $470 million, along with a non-GAAP operating margin of 13-14% and EPS between $0.70 and $0.80. Despite challenges such as tariffs, the company anticipates gross margins exceeding 40%. Analyst firms have shown mixed reactions; Stifel maintained a Buy rating with an $85 price target, while Needham reduced its target to $100, citing a broader compression of multiples in the tech sector.

The company is also focusing on expanding its Electro-absorption Modulated Lasers (EML) production capacity in Thailand, which is expected to contribute to strong growth in fiscal year 2026. Management remains optimistic about reaching a $500 million quarterly revenue run-rate by the end of calendar year 2025. Overall, Lumentum’s strategic initiatives and strong demand in key segments position it well for continued growth.

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