Morgan Stanley reiterates Overweight rating on Autodesk stock amid PTC deal rumors

Published 10/07/2025, 13:50
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Investing.com - Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) has maintained its Overweight rating and $370.00 price target on Autodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK), currently trading at $307.27, as the software company faces unconfirmed reports about a potential acquisition of engineering software firm PTC (NASDAQ:PTC). According to InvestingPro data, Autodesk maintains impressive gross profit margins of 92% and is considered a prominent player in the Software (ETR:SOWGn) industry.

Morgan Stanley notes that PTC’s assets could provide Autodesk with strategic benefits by allowing deeper penetration into the manufacturing software market, particularly in Product Lifecycle Management with PTC’s Windchill product. The acquisition could help Autodesk capitalize on the convergence of CAD, PLM, and CAE (NYSE:CAE) technologies.

From a business perspective, Autodesk could benefit from PTC’s enterprise customer relationships in industries like Automotive and Aerospace where Autodesk currently has limited exposure. PTC’s direct sales approach could also gain efficiency by leveraging Autodesk’s self-service and partner channel relationships.

The potential acquisition faces investor concerns, primarily regarding its size. With PTC’s market capitalization at approximately $21 billion compared to Autodesk’s $65 billion, this would represent the largest acquisition in Autodesk’s history, significantly exceeding its $1 billion purchase of Innovyze in 2021.

Morgan Stanley also highlights that such a large acquisition could distract from Autodesk’s commitment to margin expansion, potentially bringing execution risk to the company’s strategy of delivering "GAAP margins among the best in the industry."

In other recent news, Autodesk has been the focus of several analyst updates following its first-quarter results. Citi analyst Tyler Radke raised the price target for Autodesk to $376, maintaining a Buy rating, citing strong growth and margin performance. The company secured multiple large Enterprise Business Agreement renewals, contributing to increased use of its software solutions like Autodesk Construction Cloud and Revit. Piper Sandler also adjusted its price target for Autodesk to $361, noting an acceleration in revenue growth to 11% in the first quarter, driven by activity in the Architecture, Engineering, Construction, and Operations sector. Berenberg upgraded Autodesk from Hold to Buy, highlighting a potential for significant margin expansion over the next three years, projecting a 16% compound annual growth rate in earnings. BMO Capital, on the other hand, maintained a Market Perform rating, acknowledging stable demand trends but noting potential macroeconomic challenges. Despite these challenges, Autodesk’s management remains optimistic about growth opportunities, particularly in construction-related workloads. The company has also shown strong profitability, with free cash flow reaching $556 million and EBIT margins surpassing expectations. These developments indicate a positive outlook for Autodesk’s financial performance and operational efficiency.

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