Netflix stock price target raised to $1,200 at Oppenheimer

Published 21/04/2025, 14:48
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On Monday, Oppenheimer’s analysts have shown confidence in Netflix’s (NASDAQ:NFLX) growth, adjusting the company’s price target upwards. Currently trading at $1,000.81 with a market capitalization of $424 billion, the streaming giant received a new target of $1,200, a bump from the previous $1,150, while the firm maintains an Outperform rating on the shares. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for Netflix range from $710 to $1,494, reflecting varied opinions on the company’s valuation. The revision follows Netflix’s successful US pricing strategy, which did not result in increased customer turnover or adjustments to subscription plans.

The price increase in the United States has been positively accepted, indicating that consumers are content with the service despite the higher cost. Netflix’s strategic pricing decisions have also extended to France, reinforcing the belief in the company’s ability to thrive amidst economic uncertainties. The first quarter of the year revealed a stronger-than-anticipated performance in both advertising and subscription revenues, with margins exceeding expectations. This success is reflected in the company’s impressive 15% revenue growth and strong financial metrics from InvestingPro, including a 75% return over the past year and a healthy gross profit margin of 47%.

Netflix’s financial outlook for the remainder of the year remains unchanged, suggesting a cautious approach to the second half of 2025. However, the unchanged guidance is seen as conservative by Oppenheimer, especially considering potential improvements in foreign exchange impacts. The commentary from Netflix indicates a strong belief in their ability to meet their targets, which includes doubling advertising revenues by 2025, thanks to the launch of their first-party advertising platform in the United States this April. The company’s strong financial health is evidenced by its perfect Piotroski Score of 9, as reported by InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis through its Pro Research Report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

The streaming giant has also been proactive in returning value to its shareholders, repurchasing $3.5 billion of its own stock. This move reflects the company’s solid financial standing and its commitment to enhancing shareholder value, supported by its strong EBITDA of $11.45 billion and moderate debt levels. Oppenheimer’s revised price target is based on a 30 times multiple of Netflix’s estimated 2027 earnings per share, or a 20 times multiple of the projected 2030 earnings per share, discounted at 7% per annum for four years. The stock currently trades at a P/E ratio of 46, with InvestingPro analysis suggesting it may be trading above its Fair Value.

In other recent news, Netflix reported impressive financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $10.5 billion, marking a 12.5% year-over-year increase. The company’s operating income of $3.3 billion exceeded expectations, and its earnings per share (EPS) came in at $6.61, surpassing estimates by 17%. Analysts from Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) have raised their price target for Netflix to $1,222, citing a clear path for growth and increased operating income margin estimates for 2025 and 2026. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) also raised its price target to $1,200, highlighting Netflix’s predictable business model and projecting a 20-25% annual EPS growth over the next four years.

Additionally, Loop Capital maintained a Hold rating on Netflix with a $1,000 price target, noting the company’s revenue growth and increased share buyback program. Citi analysts kept a Neutral rating with a $1,020 price target, emphasizing Netflix’s strong operating income and EPS outlook for the second quarter of 2025. Goldman Sachs also raised its price target to $1,000, maintaining a Neutral rating while acknowledging Netflix’s robust financial performance and stable monetization strategy. These developments underscore the confidence analysts have in Netflix’s continued growth and financial stability.

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