Bullish indicating open at $55-$60, IPO prices at $37
On Thursday, Oppenheimer reaffirmed its Outperform rating and $175.00 price target for NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA), following the company’s financial results that surpassed expectations. NVIDIA’s fourth-quarter sales for January and first-quarter sales for April exceeded Wall Street’s forecasts by $1.2 billion and $1 billion, respectively. According to InvestingPro data, NVIDIA maintains excellent financial health with a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating strong operational efficiency. The company is transitioning from modules to systems, which has resulted in leaner quarters.
NVIDIA’s Blackwell platform generated a robust $11 billion in fourth-quarter sales and is anticipated to gain momentum in the second half of the year with the launch of the next-generation Blackwell Ultra (GB300). The Blackwell technology has already been shipped to several cloud service provider clusters, each with over 100,000 GPUs. Management highlighted that the vast majority of NVIDIA’s compute power is utilized for inference tasks, with Blackwell’s inference performance being 20 times more efficient than the H100.
The company distinguishes its GPU workloads from cloud service provider AI ASIC projects for several reasons. These include NVIDIA’s general-purpose architecture, comprehensive capabilities that extend from pre-training to post-training and inference, superior performance, and extensive software support. Additionally, the performance-per-watt of Blackwell is reported to be two to eight times better compared to ASICs.
Sales in China have remained stable, accounting for less than 15% of total sales. The first-quarter gross margin is projected to be 250 basis points lower quarter-over-quarter, settling at 71% due to the ramping up of Blackwell. The company has demonstrated impressive financial performance, with InvestingPro data showing a current gross profit margin of 75.86% and remarkable revenue growth of 152.44% over the last twelve months. Oppenheimer analysts expect the gross margin to recover throughout the year and to exit the 2025 calendar year at approximately 75%.
Oppenheimer’s analysis concludes that NVIDIA remains in a strong position within the AI industry, benefiting from its full-stack AI hardware and software, as well as its unique rack-level approach. InvestingPro analysis reveals 18 additional key insights about NVIDIA’s financial health and market position. Subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides detailed analysis of NVIDIA’s valuation, growth prospects, and competitive advantages among the 1,400+ top US stocks covered by the platform.
In other recent news, NVIDIA Corporation reported impressive financial results for the fourth quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.89, surpassing analyst expectations of $0.84. The company’s revenue also exceeded forecasts, reaching $39.3 billion compared to the anticipated $38.02 billion. NVIDIA’s Data Center revenue was a significant contributor, amounting to $35.6 billion, showing a 93% increase year-over-year. Despite these strong results, NVIDIA’s gross margin for the first quarter was slightly lower than expected at 71%, attributed to the initial costs of ramping up its Blackwell architecture. Analysts from KeyBanc and Jefferies maintained optimistic views on NVIDIA, with KeyBanc setting a price target of $190 and Jefferies at $185, both citing strong performance and future potential in data center growth and AI innovations. Meanwhile, DA Davidson held a Neutral stance with a $135 target, noting mixed financial outcomes but acknowledging robust demand for NVIDIA’s data processing solutions. Cantor Fitzgerald also expressed confidence in NVIDIA’s future performance, maintaining an Overweight rating with a $200 price target, and projecting significant EPS growth in the coming years.
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