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On Monday, Piper Sandler analyst Kashy Harrison revised the price target for Fluence Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:FLNC) downward, setting it at $4.00 from the previous $10.00. The stock, currently trading at $3.69, has fallen over 75% in the past year and sits near its 52-week low of $3.49. Despite this significant change, the firm maintained a Neutral stance on the company’s stock. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is trading below its Fair Value, with 18 additional key insights available to subscribers. The adjustment follows concerns about the impact of tariffs and global pricing pressures on the U.S. storage development sector, particularly given China’s control over the battery supply chain.
Harrison pointed out that the combination of these factors is creating a challenging environment for Fluence Energy, referring to it as a "perfect storm in ’25." As the company approaches its earnings report, several critical questions are raised, including the extent of estimate revisions, the timeline for transitioning to 100% AESC cells, potential margins with the new cells considering tariffs, updates on international strategy amid expected continued pricing declines, and realistic expectations for normalized earnings power.
The analyst anticipates that estimate revisions could be significant, with projections for EBITDA in the fiscal year 2025 ranging from negative $100 million to a positive $44 million. With the company’s next earnings report due on May 7, investors seeking deeper insights can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro’s detailed Research Report, which provides expert analysis on this and 1,400+ other US stocks. The Neutral rating remains unchanged as the market awaits further details and outcomes.
In other recent news, Fluence Energy has been the focus of several analyst reports, highlighting various challenges and adjustments in expectations. Canaccord Genuity has lowered its price target for Fluence Energy to $10, maintaining a Buy rating despite challenges such as deal delays and competition from China. The firm remains optimistic about Fluence’s growth potential in the energy storage market, particularly due to its strategic initiatives like the December 2024 convertible note offering. Conversely, Guggenheim Securities has taken a more cautious stance, reducing its price target to $2 and maintaining a Sell rating. The firm expressed concerns over Fluence’s reliance on government subsidies for positive EBITDA projections in fiscal years 2025 and 2026.
JPMorgan has also downgraded Fluence Energy from Overweight to Neutral, adjusting the price target to $7, with concerns over tariff-related uncertainties affecting order activity and backlog sufficiency. Barclays (LON:BARC) followed suit, downgrading the stock to Equalweight and lowering the price target to $5, citing competitive pressures and regulatory challenges impacting the company’s forward outlook. Lastly, Jefferies reduced its price target to $4, maintaining a Hold rating, and noted the potential impact of new Chinese tariffs on Fluence’s gross margins, which could see a significant reduction. These developments underscore the complex landscape Fluence Energy is navigating, with varying analyst perspectives reflecting the uncertainties and opportunities in the energy storage sector.
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