Raymond James lifts Spotify stock price target to $650

Published 04/02/2025, 18:14
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On Tuesday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James increased the price target for Spotify Technology SA (NYSE:SPOT) shares to $650 from the previous $500, while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment came after the audio streaming giant reported quarterly results that surpassed expectations. Trading at $599.88, the stock has delivered an impressive 146.8% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears overvalued at current levels, though analysts maintain bullish targets ranging from $231 to $644.

Analysts at Raymond James cited a robust "top of funnel" performance, attributing the success to Spotify’s strong fourth-quarter Wrapped campaign and the retreat of some competitors in developing markets. This led to a significant number of new user acquisitions for Spotify. Additionally, Spotify’s gross margins exceeded analyst forecasts, contributing to the positive outlook. The company’s financial health appears strong, with InvestingPro data showing a healthy current ratio of 1.71 and revenue growth of 18.5% in the last twelve months. InvestingPro subscribers have access to over 20 additional key insights about Spotify’s financial performance and growth prospects.

Spotify did not provide detailed information regarding its new deal with Universal Music Group (AS:UMG). However, the company indicated its anticipation for year-over-year gross margin growth in the fiscal year 2025. This expectation suggests that potential offsets in the deal will likely be advantageous to both Spotify and Universal. The company’s current gross profit margin stands at 28.7%, with analysts expecting continued improvement in profitability. For detailed analysis of Spotify’s growth prospects and comprehensive valuation metrics, investors can access the full Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro.

The company also conveyed confidence in several key growth areas for 2025. These include the introduction of video podcasts and a super-Premium subscription tier, as well as the ability to leverage pricing. Moreover, Spotify emphasized its commitment to controlling costs while pursuing these growth opportunities.

Although the rate of margin improvement in 2025 might be somewhat irregular due to the timing of certain product launches and initiatives, Raymond James analysts believe that Spotify is well-positioned to sustain its momentum throughout the year. The firm’s optimistic stance on Spotify’s prospects reflects confidence in the company’s strategic direction and growth potential.

In other recent news, Spotify has been the subject of several analyst notes. Canaccord Genuity has raised its stock price target for the company to $650, citing a positive outlook based on anticipated robust fourth-quarter results. KeyBanc Capital Markets has also increased its price target for Spotify to $600, expecting strong earnings in the fourth quarter as well. Meanwhile, Citi has adjusted its price target on Spotify shares to $540, maintaining a neutral rating.

These recent developments reflect an overall optimism regarding Spotify’s financial health. Erste Group initiated coverage on Spotify with a Buy rating, highlighting the company’s strong revenue growth and significant reduction in operating costs. The company’s strategy of diversifying its content and leveraging AI-based software is expected to support this positive development.

In other company news, Spotify has successfully had a lawsuit dismissed that alleged the company had manipulated its premium service in a way that shortchanged songwriters of their royalties. This legal victory allows Spotify to continue its operations without the looming threat of this lawsuit. These are some of the recent developments that have shaped the narrative around Spotify.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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