Raymond James raises Mercury Systems price target to $55

Published 07/05/2025, 17:48
Raymond James raises Mercury Systems price target to $55

On Wednesday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Brian Gesuale increased the price target for Mercury Systems (NASDAQ:MRCY) stock to $55, up from the previous $50, while maintaining an Outperform rating. The company, currently valued at $2.9 billion, has shown remarkable momentum with its stock delivering a 73% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro data, Gesuale’s target aligns with the broader analyst consensus, as targets range from $20 to $58. The company’s recent financial results exceeded expectations with a 3.5% top-line beat and 1.5% growth, contrary to the anticipated 2% decline.

The company’s third fiscal quarter results showed revenues of $211 million, surpassing the predicted $204 million. Gesuale was particularly impressed by the 11.7% margins, which were 100 basis points above the forecasted 10.7%. This performance was attributed to effective cost control and successful execution against a backlog increasingly consisting of higher-margin production work. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 3.62, indicating robust liquidity, and operates with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.45.

Mercury Systems’ trailing twelve-month (TTM) bookings, with 80% being production-type work, and a TTM book-to-bill (B2B) ratio of 1.1x, suggest a positive outlook for margin expansion as the company moves into 2026. Gesuale’s forecast for fiscal year 2026 includes a top-line estimate of $929 million, which is 1.3% higher than previous estimates and represents a 4.7% organic growth rate. The adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (AEBITDA) is projected at $139 million, implying a margin of 15%, an increase from the prior 14.1%. For deeper insights into Mercury Systems’ growth potential and comprehensive financial analysis, investors can access the detailed Pro Research Report available on InvestingPro, which covers over 1,400 US stocks with expert analysis and actionable intelligence.

In his comments, Gesuale noted, "The MRCY story is maturing nicely, and we see the name as having a combination of growing visibility and margin expansion opportunities that are highest in the defense space – both of which should drive outperformance for a sustained period of time." Mercury Systems’ performance and strategic positioning in the defense sector underpin the analyst’s positive outlook for the stock. InvestingPro analysis indicates that while the company shows strong operational momentum, its current valuation appears stretched relative to its Fair Value, suggesting investors should carefully consider entry points.

In other recent news, Mercury Systems reported its third-quarter earnings for fiscal year 2025, revealing mixed results. The company posted an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.33, significantly missing the forecasted $0.10. However, Mercury Systems achieved a revenue of $211 million, surpassing the expected $205.88 million, marking a 1.5% year-over-year increase. The company’s adjusted EBITDA was $24.7 million, showing a substantial improvement from the previous year’s -$2.4 million. Additionally, Mercury Systems reported a strong free cash flow of $24 million, compared to an outflow of $26 million in the prior year. RBC Capital Markets responded to these developments by raising Mercury Systems’ stock price target from $48 to $50 while maintaining a Sector Perform rating. Analysts at RBC expressed confidence in the company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook, despite the current earnings miss. Mercury Systems also highlighted strategic acquisitions and innovations in cybersecurity and processing technologies as part of its growth strategy.

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