RBC maintains TD Synnex Outperform rating, $165 target

Published 28/03/2025, 16:32
RBC maintains TD Synnex Outperform rating, $165 target

On Friday, RBC Capital Markets sustained its positive stance on TD Synnex (NYSE:SNX) shares, maintaining an Outperform rating and a $165.00 price target. The stock, which InvestingPro analysis shows is currently undervalued, has seen a significant 15.8% decline over the past week, potentially creating an attractive entry point. The firm’s analysis highlighted the company’s ability to surpass the overall IT distribution market’s performance in the fiscal year 2025, with a notable 7.5% year-over-year billings growth in the first quarter of 2025. This growth comes despite encountering challenges in its Hyve segment, which has been experiencing softer demand. RBC Capital analysts anticipate improvements in Hyve’s performance in the second half of 2025 and into fiscal year 2026, driven by a recovery in demand and the acquisition of new customers.

The analysts also noted TD Synnex’s focus on profitable growth and operational efficiencies, which have contributed to margin expansion within its distribution segment. With a strong free cash flow yield of 12% and a favorable PEG ratio of 0.71, the company’s valuation metrics support its growth story. Furthermore, TD Synnex has confirmed its guidance for mid-single-digit billings growth and forecasts $1.1 billion in free cash flow for the fiscal year 2025. RBC Capital sees this as a positive indicator for the company’s ability to continue its shareholder-friendly capital allocation.

Despite the current softer demand in the Hyve segment, the analysts from RBC Capital believe that the company benefits from long-term secular tailwinds. They recommend investors to consider purchasing shares if any weakness arises, expressing confidence in the company’s mid-term prospects. This view is reinforced by InvestingPro’s GOOD Financial Health Score and 12 additional proprietary insights available to subscribers. The reaffirmation of TD Synnex’s financial guidance and the expectation of demand recovery are seen as key factors supporting the Outperform rating.

In other recent news, TD Synnex reported its Q2 2025 earnings, revealing a slight miss in both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue expectations. The company posted an EPS of $2.80, falling short of the $2.91 forecast, while revenue came in at $14.53 billion, below the anticipated $14.79 billion. Following these results, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James adjusted the company’s stock price target to $125 from $150 but maintained a Strong Buy rating. Similarly, Barclays (LON:BARC) also lowered its price target to $125 from $148, keeping an Equalweight rating.

The revenue miss was attributed to a shift in product mix, although gross billings showed an 8% year-over-year increase. Despite the EPS miss, earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) were slightly above expectations. The company faced challenges in cash flow, with significant usage due to inefficiencies in its hyperscaler assembly business, amounting to approximately $750 million. Analysts from Barclays highlighted uncertainties in IT spending recovery and potential government spending reductions as factors limiting near-term stock appreciation.

TD Synnex remains optimistic about future growth, projecting EPS and revenue increases in the coming quarters. The company expects EPS growth with estimates of $3.00 for Q3 2025 and $3.19 for Q4 2025, alongside revenue forecasts of $14.73 billion and $15.49 billion, respectively. Further insights into the company’s long-term strategy and performance are anticipated at the upcoming analyst day in April.

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